 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $6 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?Champions League | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?Premier League | YesResolved | $5 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $150-160m opening weekend?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel military action on Yemen before June?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 27?Crypto | UpResolved | $2 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before September?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 New Pope announced by May 31?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Quantitative Tightening" during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Pope be Black?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?Champions League | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?Premier League | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Solana above $130 on April 25?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?Premier League | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump x Xi talk before July?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 ChatGPT #1 app May 9?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$89mo ago