 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 77¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Weed rescheduled by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?Politics | Trump Announce FedResolved | $4 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Iran strike on US military by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $1 | 24¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 37¢ | 7.5¢ | -$11 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will The Secret Agent be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?Other | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$025d ago
Sold No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$21mo ago
Sold Yes · Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12mo ago