 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 3?Weather | YesResolved | $45 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 9?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 14?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?Weather | YesResolved | $31 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 15?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $17 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 22?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 15?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $40 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 29?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 22?Weather | YesResolved | $25 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 13?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 15?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 13?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $225 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 12?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 23?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 12?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 25?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 5?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 13?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Yoon be sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 14?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 30?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 29?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $36 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 19?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 15?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 13?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 39°C on August 7?Weather | YesResolved | $16 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 4?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 30?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 23?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?Weather | YesResolved | $49 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 13?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 9?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 11?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on September 14?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 30?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 23?Weather | YesResolved | $27 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 14?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $33 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 9?Weather | YesResolved | $47 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 15?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on August 23?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 22?Weather | YesResolved | $50 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 25?Weather | YesResolved | $31 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 2?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 29?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 11?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 10?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 14?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 8?Weather | YesResolved | $25 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 4?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 6?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8?Weather | YesResolved | $34 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 11?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 22?Weather | YesResolved | $25 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |