← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jul 2026499 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$17085¢85¢+$0
Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$16683¢79¢-$9
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15075¢77¢+$3
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?FinanceYes$13467¢63¢-$8
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$12864¢62¢-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$12388¢88¢-$1
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$12060¢56¢-$8
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$12864¢56¢-$16
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$15075¢55¢-$41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$10854¢54¢-$1
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$13668¢53¢-$30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$11168¢63¢-$9
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$13467¢51¢-$33
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$10869¢64¢-$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$9262¢63¢+$1
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechYes$11457¢46¢-$22
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$11457¢46¢-$23
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceYes$12462¢45¢-$35
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$12462¢44¢-$36
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$11859¢41¢-$37
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$7162¢64¢+$2
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$10453¢34¢-$36
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$8856¢40¢-$25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$5363¢74¢+$9
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$6633¢31¢-$5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$5959¢59¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?WeatherNo$5281¢77¢-$3
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$4237¢37¢-$1
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$7638¢21¢-$35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3983¢82¢-$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?MentionsYes$3986¢85¢-$1
Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$4623¢19¢-$8
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$5829¢18¢-$22
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechNo$4624¢17¢-$14
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$3671¢62¢-$5
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$3671¢60¢-$6
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$4020¢15¢-$10
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$3078¢73¢-$2
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBAYes$3118¢16¢-$4
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$2662¢62¢-$0
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$2541¢42¢+$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$2623¢21¢-$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$3339¢27¢-$10
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$3819¢11¢-$17
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$2613¢9.5¢-$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$1712¢13¢+$1
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$3216¢7.6¢-$17
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$2412¢6.5¢-$11
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$1632¢25¢-$4
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$2412¢5.5¢-$13
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsYes$147.0¢5.5¢-$3
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLBYes$1047¢47¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$817¢18¢+$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechNo$1428¢13¢-$8
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$918¢13¢-$3
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$1429¢12¢-$9
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$917¢9.5¢-$4
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$5647¢3.6¢-$52
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$369¢68¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$38.0¢8.5¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$131¢33¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsLGD GamingResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$200.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1223¢0.0¢-$12
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnereSportsEternal FireResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$636
Finance-$567
Tech-$305
Weather-$173
eSports-$116
NBA-$110
Economy-$45
Mentions-$42
Culture-$12
Other-$10
UFC / MMA-$7
MLB-$6
Biggest hit
+$423
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Toughest beat
-$421
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Recent moves

  • MERGE Iran leadership change by December 31?$891m ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by December 31?$701m ago
  • Bought No · Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?$1142m ago
  • MERGE US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$18410m ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$10110m ago
  • MERGE Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?$3021m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?$621m ago
  • Bought No · Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?$4632m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?$1038m ago
  • MERGE Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?$341m ago
  • Bought No · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?$141m ago
  • Sold No · Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?$2042m ago