kvinster

Predicting since Nov 202415 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech	Yes	$50	11¢	4.4¢	-$31
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech	Yes	$50	13¢	0.9¢	-$47
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$50	16¢	0.0¢	-$50
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Tech	NoResolved	$50	58¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$50	33¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech	NoResolved	$50	48¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$50	30¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$50	20¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$50	50¢	0.0¢	-$50
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$50	17¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech	YesResolved	$100	44¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$50	17¢	0.0¢	-$50

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$452

Biggest hit

+$82

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Cashed out No · Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1321mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$2801mo ago
Cashed out No · Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$1472mo ago
Bought No · Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1005mo ago
Bought No · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$505mo ago
Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$505mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$505mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$505mo ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$505mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$505mo ago
Bought No · Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$1005mo ago
Bought No · Claude 4.7 released by May 31?$505mo ago