← Whale Watch

duref

Predicting since Apr 2026124 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.0K riding on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.0K6.1¢4.5¢-$272
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$2212.6¢3.4¢+$66
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2440.7¢0.7¢-$11
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$90.5¢2.3¢+$34
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$130.3¢0.5¢+$12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4016¢9.5¢-$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$261.2¢1.1¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$340.3¢0.1¢-$17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$531.4¢0.4¢-$36
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$150.5¢0.4¢-$4
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$8517¢1.7¢-$77
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$510¢16¢+$3
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$412¢21¢+$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$4859¢8.5¢-$41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$61.3¢1.3¢-$0
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?EconomyYes$00.2¢3.8¢+$5
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$20.1¢0.2¢+$2
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$30.1¢0.1¢+$1
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$28.4¢6.5¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?CryptoYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?CryptoYesResolved$23.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18?CryptoYesResolved$53.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$290.9¢0.0¢-$29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?CryptoYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "War" during events with Turkish president?MentionsNoResolved$273.0¢0.0¢-$27
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$190.2¢0.0¢-$19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30?CryptoYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.1¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$790.2¢0.0¢-$79
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$58443¢0.0¢-$584
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$251.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?CryptoNoResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World CupYesResolved$29.8¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?PoliticsYesResolved$701.2¢0.0¢-$70
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$93.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?PoliticsNoResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Oil" during events with Turkish president?MentionsNoResolved$63.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Deal" during events with Turkish president?MentionsNoResolved$183.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?CryptoYesResolved$43.3¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?CryptoNoResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?CryptoNoResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 1?CryptoYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?CryptoNoResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?CryptoNoResolved$53.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Turkish president?MentionsNoResolved$63.0¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Turkish president?MentionsNoResolved$183.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?CryptoYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?CryptoYesResolved$83.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.3¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania events?MentionsYesResolved$91.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 30?CryptoYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?PoliticsYesResolved$260.4¢0.0¢-$26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.3¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 3?CryptoYesResolved$61.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17?CryptoYesResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?CryptoYesResolved$206.8¢0.0¢-$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?CryptoYesResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?PoliticsNoResolved$16621¢0.0¢-$166
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$93.6¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$136.3¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 2?CryptoYesResolved$21.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$102.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Tele-Rally?MentionsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBelgiumResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?CryptoYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$2641.7¢0.0¢-$264

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$564
World Cup-$303
Crypto-$110
Mentions-$86
Weather+$66
Economy+$54
Biggest hit
+$471
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$86
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$12d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$252d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$12d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$92d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$23d ago