Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 6.1¢ | 4.5¢ | -$272 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $221 | 2.6¢ | 3.4¢ | +$66 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $244 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$11 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $9 | 0.5¢ | 2.3¢ | +$34 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $13 | 0.3¢ | 0.5¢ | +$12 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | -$16 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $26 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $34 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $53 | 1.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$36 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $15 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $85 | 17¢ | 1.7¢ | -$77 |
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $4 | 12¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | Yes | $48 | 59¢ | 8.5¢ | -$41 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$0 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 3.8¢ | +$5 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | +$2 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.4¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "War" during events with Turkish president?Mentions | NoResolved | $27 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $79 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $584 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$584 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" during events with Turkish president?Mentions | NoResolved | $6 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "Deal" during events with Turkish president?Mentions | NoResolved | $18 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Turkish president?Mentions | NoResolved | $6 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Turkish president?Mentions | NoResolved | $18 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania events?Mentions | YesResolved | $9 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $6 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 17?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $166 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$166 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 2?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Tele-Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | BelgiumResolved | $1 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $264 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$264 |