← Whale Watch

AaronDavis4412

Predicting since Oct 202585 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse OrangeBasketball (other)Syracuse OrangeResolved$7549¢100¢+$79
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10888¢100¢+$14
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?TechYesResolved$4058¢100¢+$29
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?WeatherNoResolved$4283¢100¢+$9
Will António José Seguro win the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$1435¢100¢+$25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1254¢100¢+$11
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1783¢100¢+$4
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?PoliticsYesResolved$1479¢100¢+$4
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?CultureNoResolved$212¢100¢+$14
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?CultureYesResolved$1182¢100¢+$2
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$777¢100¢+$2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$463¢100¢+$3
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$357¢100¢+$3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be greater than 1,900,000?PoliticsYesResolved$236¢100¢+$3
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$239¢100¢+$2
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?WeatherNoResolved$488¢100¢+$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?WeatherNoResolved$281¢100¢+$1
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$014¢71¢+$2
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$157¢100¢+$1
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?TechYesResolved$139¢100¢+$1
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?WeatherNoResolved$171¢100¢+$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Panthers visit?Other sportsNoResolved$167¢100¢+$0
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?PoliticsNoResolved$181¢100¢+$0
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during Panthers visit?Other sportsNoResolved$048¢100¢+$1
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?TechYesResolved$013¢0.0¢-$0
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?CultureNoResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?PoliticsYesResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?TechNoResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?TechNoResolved$1942¢0.0¢-$19
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1142¢0.0¢-$11
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?Other sportsNoResolved$362¢0.0¢-$3
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?TechYesResolved$020¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026TechYesResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?PoliticsNoResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?PoliticsNoResolved$822¢0.0¢-$8
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?MentionsYesResolved$451¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherNoResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Will António José Seguro win the first round?PoliticsNoResolved$2062¢0.0¢-$20
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?NBANoResolved$042¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Basketball (other)+$130
Politics+$86
Crypto+$19
Tech+$18
Culture+$13
Weather+$8
Mentions+$5
Economy-$3
Other sports-$2
NBA-$0
Biggest hit
+$52
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
Toughest beat
-$15
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$16mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$16mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$106mo ago
  • Sold No · Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$116mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?$16mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?$16mo ago
  • Sold No · Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$76mo ago
  • Sold No · Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$116mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$46mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$16mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$16mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$26mo ago