← Whale Watch

sbel

Predicting since May 20261,915 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?PoliticsNo$17873¢100¢+$66
Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-23?Soccer (other)NoResolved$19990¢100¢+$22
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$20050¢50¢-$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$18071¢65¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$12387¢100¢+$18
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$11890¢100¢+$13
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$11588¢100¢+$15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$13889¢83¢-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoNo$10790¢98¢+$9
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$7162¢100¢+$43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$10190¢94¢+$4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8585¢100¢+$15
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$12692¢72¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8283¢100¢+$16
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$9490¢93¢+$4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8993¢100¢+$7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8286¢100¢+$14
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$7887¢100¢+$11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8090¢100¢+$9
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$7488¢98¢+$9
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?CryptoNo$7391¢97¢+$5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6685¢99¢+$11
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in July?FinanceNo$6586¢98¢+$9
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$6991¢96¢+$4
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$6680¢88¢+$6
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$7180¢78¢-$2
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?FinanceNo$7070¢69¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5583¢100¢+$12
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$5482¢100¢+$12
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$6289¢94¢+$3
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$6585¢82¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoNo$5991¢97¢+$4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5284¢100¢+$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5484¢95¢+$7
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6988¢78¢-$8
Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?FinanceNo$6470¢64¢-$6
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$5595¢99¢+$2
Procter & Gamble (PG) Q4 organic sales growth 0.5%-1.5%?FinanceNo$6575¢65¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsNo$4887¢99¢+$7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5187¢92¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$3565¢100¢+$19
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$4275¢93¢+$10
Will Coleraine FC win on 2026-07-23?Soccer (other)NoResolved$4790¢100¢+$5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsNoResolved$4893¢100¢+$4
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$4585¢97¢+$6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$4792¢100¢+$4
Will FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?Soccer (other)NoResolved$3978¢100¢+$11
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyNo$5391¢87¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4285¢100¢+$7
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$3165¢100¢+$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$4782¢83¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$3574¢100¢+$12
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$4696¢99¢+$2
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$3539¢52¢+$11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?CryptoNo$4288¢97¢+$4
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4490¢93¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$3577¢100¢+$10
HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)NoResolved$3169¢100¢+$14
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?CultureNo$6495¢67¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$3170¢100¢+$13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$3171¢100¢+$13
Will Intel say "Node Ramp" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$3581¢100¢+$8
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $212 in July?FinanceNo$4295¢99¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$3583¢100¢+$7
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$4295¢95¢-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26?CryptoNo$3686¢100¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$3585¢100¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$3177¢100¢+$9
Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$4285¢83¢-$1
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechNo$3585¢98¢+$5
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?FinanceNo$3689¢98¢+$4
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?FinanceNo$6494¢59¢-$24
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4086¢86¢+$0
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$3582¢93¢+$5
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$3532¢37¢+$5
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?Soccer (other)NoResolved$3180¢100¢+$8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$3180¢100¢+$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoNo$3683¢90¢+$3
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?CultureNo$2969¢92¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$3592¢100¢+$3
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?FinanceNo$3989¢85¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$3182¢100¢+$7
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$3691¢93¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3689¢92¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 23?WeatherNoResolved$3594¢100¢+$2
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3489¢98¢+$3
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?PoliticsNo$3271¢81¢+$5
Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$3691¢92¢+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?PoliticsNo$3789¢89¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?WeatherNo$2364¢100¢+$13
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$3980¢74¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$3186¢100¢+$5
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-23?Soccer (other)NoResolved$3082¢100¢+$7
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$3284¢93¢+$3
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$4079¢70¢-$5
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?FinanceNo$3391¢95¢+$2
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in July?WeatherNo$3292¢99¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$3190¢100¢+$4
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherNo$2875¢91¢+$6
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?CryptoNo$3184¢93¢+$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$926
Soccer (other)-$450
World Cup-$391
Politics-$308
Finance-$200
Mentions+$95
MLS-$83
Premier League-$36
eSports-$35
NBA+$32
Other sports-$28
Tennis+$24
Biggest hit
+$128
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Toughest beat
-$6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$53d ago
  • Sold No · Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?$403d ago
  • Sold No · Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$63d ago
  • Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?$233d ago
  • Sold No · Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?$63d ago
  • Sold No · Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$93d ago
  • Sold No · Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-07-25?$303d ago
  • Sold No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25?$53d ago
  • Sold No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$43d ago
  • Sold No · Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?$63d ago
  • Sold No · Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 20 2026?$53d ago
  • Sold No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$293d ago