Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $50 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 37¢ | 53¢ | +$8 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $34 | 85¢ | 69¢ | -$6 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $20 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
GTA VI released by November 30?Culture | Yes | $20 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 33¢ | 54¢ | +$6 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
OpenAI acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 75¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $8 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 72¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 62¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Economy | No | $5 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Other sports | No | $5 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 54¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.2¢ | 4.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by October 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 60¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 82¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 69¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 63¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
GTA VI released by October 31?Culture | No | $3 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 44¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 53¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 36¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 82¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 5.3¢ | -$3 |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 7.0¢ | 6.6¢ | -$0 |
Revolut IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 10.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -$4 |
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $1 | 30¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |