← Whale Watch

IceFrosst

Predicting since Dec 2025303 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.9K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $1.1K riding on Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?.

Biggest hit: +$10K on US government shutdown Saturday?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$90478¢93¢+$168
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$53489¢77¢-$72
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$38044¢46¢+$14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$70859¢21¢-$462
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?TechYes$19394¢93¢-$3
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMANo$11087¢60¢-$34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$7865¢57¢-$9
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$4028¢28¢-$1
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?PoliticsNo$3395¢95¢-$0
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?TechNoResolved$1.1K49¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?CryptoNoResolved$14874¢0.0¢-$148
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?TechYesResolved$71.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?TechYesResolved$34569¢0.0¢-$345
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$4.9K
Crypto-$4.2K
Economy+$2.0K
Mentions-$1.0K
Finance-$992
Tech-$357
Culture+$68
World Cup+$35
UFC / MMA-$34
eSports+$5
Tennis-$3
Biggest hit
+$10K
US government shutdown Saturday?
Toughest beat
-$19K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?$3352m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?$4153m ago
  • Bought Yes · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$512h ago
  • Bought Yes · Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$462h ago
  • Bought Yes · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$2044h ago
  • Bought Yes · Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$465h ago
  • Bought Yes · Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$1001d ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by July 24?$1.0K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$1331d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$1491d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$3041d ago