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thereluctantbettor

Predicting since Sep 202531 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$2480¢95¢+$4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2828¢27¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2828¢20¢-$8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3333¢0.0¢-$33
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11280¢0.0¢-$112
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2983¢0.0¢-$29
James Comey indicted before October?PoliticsNoResolved$2447¢0.0¢-$24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3774¢0.0¢-$37
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMexicoResolved$1447¢0.0¢-$14
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?FinanceYesResolved$1665¢0.0¢-$16
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?MLBYesResolved$1428¢0.0¢-$14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4387¢0.0¢-$43
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1041¢0.0¢-$10
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$66.5¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)NFL49ersResolved$1455¢0.0¢-$14

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$319
Tech+$27
Basketball (other)+$26
Finance-$16
MLB-$14
Culture+$12
World Cup+$2
NFL-$1
Biggest hit
+$26
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Toughest beat
-$76
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$1512d ago