Ferg50

Predicting since Mar 202640 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$2	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	28¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$13	26¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will Teri List be the next CEO of Lululemon?Finance	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$3	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	36¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on April 23?Crypto	YesResolved	$236	25¢	0.0¢	-$236
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$60	26¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$236	25¢	0.0¢	-$236
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Politics	YesResolved	$81	70¢	0.0¢	-$81
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$6	38¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$15	15¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$9	27¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on April 23?Crypto	YesResolved	$236	25¢	0.0¢	-$236
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$6	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics	NoResolved	$5	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	53¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$793

Politics-$87

Tech-$15

Finance-$1

Biggest hit

+$32

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$6

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$814mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump visit China by June 30?$34mo ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$14mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 31?$64mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$54mo ago
Cashed out No · Trump out as President by April 30?$04mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$14mo ago
Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$24mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$164mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?$24mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1184mo ago