 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$5 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $88 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$4 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $79 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $75 | 85¢ | 72¢ | -$12 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $41 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 84¢ | 77¢ | -$4 |
 Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $42 | 84¢ | 72¢ | -$6 |
 Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $41 | 81¢ | 71¢ | -$5 |
 Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $39 | 78¢ | 71¢ | -$4 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Culture | No | $38 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Politics | Yes | $33 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
 Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $32 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Culture | No | $32 | 64¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $34 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Economy | No | $30 | 59¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
 Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $28 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $38 | 75¢ | 52¢ | -$12 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?Politics | Yes | $32 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $23 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $23 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?Mentions | No | $23 | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Culture | No | $20 | 40¢ | 39¢ | -$0 |
| Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?Finance | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
| Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | No | $27 | 91¢ | 64¢ | -$8 |
| Who will win the gold medal in BMX Dirt Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports | No | $26 | 65¢ | 45¢ | -$8 |
 Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $18 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $19 | 93¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $17 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?Weather | Yes | $16 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?Economy | No | $16 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $15 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 EPL: Will Jeff Bezos Be Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?Premier League | No | $17 | 84¢ | 75¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?Weather | No | $14 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $16 | 78¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?Weather | No | $14 | 68¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?Weather | No | $14 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $14 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27?Weather | No | $13 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech | No | $13 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?Weather | No | $13 | 67¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ambient launch a token by March 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $10 | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
 Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 50¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 27?Weather | No | $14 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 27?Weather | No | $13 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?Weather | No | $14 | 72¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?Weather | No | $12 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $12 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?Weather | No | $12 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 71¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
| Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSports | No | $16 | 79¢ | 54¢ | -$5 |
 Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $11 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 27?Weather | No | $11 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 76¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?Politics | No | $12 | 84¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $12 | 62¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?Weather | No | $12 | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | No | $8 | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 27?Weather | No | $11 | 54¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $8 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $9 | 67¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
 Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $7 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
| Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$12 |
| Will the Bills win the season series against the Jets during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $10 | 52¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $8 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| Will Rho Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $13 | 66¢ | 36¢ | -$6 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 9.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 15¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 38¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $12 | 59¢ | 34¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 33¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 79¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?Weather | No | $7 | 71¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 62¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
 Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $6 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 28?Weather | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $9 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
 Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $8 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 69¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
 Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $6 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Finance | No | $9 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 28?Weather | Yes | $5 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
| Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
 Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $14 | 36¢ | 13¢ | -$9 |
Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?$31m ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 28?$04m ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?$212m ago