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mrkinetiq

Predicting since Nov 2025514 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $20K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $7.9K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.7K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K53¢56¢+$132
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K68¢69¢+$36
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K48¢33¢-$966
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2.0K44¢45¢+$23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.0K79¢80¢+$8
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K91¢97¢+$91
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K81¢85¢+$62
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K76¢94¢+$256
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K83¢80¢-$51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K67¢74¢+$121
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$94263¢80¢+$254
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$88877¢85¢+$96
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$85195¢100¢+$42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$84070¢68¢-$24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$69457¢66¢+$100
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$63353¢57¢+$52
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$54054¢56¢+$25
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$40868¢94¢+$153
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41583¢97¢+$71
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$42923¢24¢+$14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38186¢99¢+$57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$28070¢99¢+$117
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$32973¢84¢+$46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$24130¢43¢+$103
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20816¢25¢+$111
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22876¢92¢+$47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$18852¢63¢+$40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19565¢76¢+$32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$20481¢88¢+$16
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$19195¢99¢+$7
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$29856¢36¢-$107
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$28752¢31¢-$116
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$10230¢48¢+$61
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$23064¢31¢-$121
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$9575¢81¢+$7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$676¢78¢+$0
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$9045¢0.0¢-$90
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$44435¢0.0¢-$444
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$2211¢0.0¢-$22
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5719¢0.0¢-$57
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)World CupUzbekistanResolved$10854¢0.0¢-$108
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K77¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$4040¢0.0¢-$40
France vs. England: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$85441¢0.0¢-$854
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1745.8¢0.0¢-$174
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$10341¢0.0¢-$103
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$4141¢0.0¢-$41
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?TechNoResolved$13547¢0.0¢-$135
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K19¢0.0¢-$1.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$39813¢0.0¢-$398
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?World CupNoResolved$18775¢0.0¢-$187
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$1631¢0.0¢-$16
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$189.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1595.3¢0.0¢-$159
Set Handicap: Arribage/Olivetti (-1.5) vs Ho/Jebens (+1.5)TennisArribage/OlivettiResolved$48056¢0.0¢-$480
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$32543¢0.0¢-$325

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$20K
eSports-$6.4K
Crypto+$4.9K
Soccer (other)+$3.7K
La Liga-$2.7K
Premier League+$1.8K
Tech-$1.8K
Champions League-$996
Culture-$786
World Cup-$725
Tennis-$603
Basketball (other)+$600
Biggest hit
+$3.7K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.8K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$12616h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$216h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$11317h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$21917h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$41417h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$117h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$8117h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$69017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$617h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$18217h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$4817h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$617h ago