 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $2.5K | 6.9¢ | 79¢ | +$26K |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $14K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$375 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $5.1K | 33¢ | 84¢ | +$7.8K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9.5K | 65¢ | 83¢ | +$2.5K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9.1K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$250 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.0K | 18¢ | 40¢ | +$4.7K |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $7.5K | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$199 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $3.6K | 41¢ | 81¢ | +$3.4K |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $9.0K | 83¢ | 53¢ | -$3.3K |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $5.2K | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$415 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$271 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $2.7K | 67¢ | 88¢ | +$826 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $2.6K | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$153 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $2.0K | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$562 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7.1K | 68¢ | 22¢ | -$4.8K |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 56¢ | 85¢ | +$761 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3.6K | 72¢ | 27¢ | -$2.2K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$50 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $1.4K | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$55 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | No | $826 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$174 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $180 | 9.0¢ | 42¢ | +$650 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $725 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$103 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $649 | 67¢ | 85¢ | +$171 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $699 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$84 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $515 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$92 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $417 | 66¢ | 78¢ | +$76 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics | No | $435 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$23 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $420 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $447 | 74¢ | 63¢ | -$67 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $271 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$8 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics | No | $187 | 73¢ | 96¢ | +$59 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $103 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 93¢ | 86¢ | -$7 |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | No | $76 | 38¢ | 32¢ | -$12 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$9 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 40¢ | 88¢ | +$26 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $86 | 86¢ | 47¢ | -$40 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $26 | 47¢ | 73¢ | +$14 |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September?Politics | No | $7 | 21¢ | 58¢ | +$13 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $84 | 57¢ | 11¢ | -$68 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3.0K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
 Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?Politics | NoResolved | $945 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$945 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7.0K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.0K |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $370 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$370 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2.6K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $781 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$781 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US bank failure by July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $816 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$816 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Politics | NoResolved | $10K | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10K |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4.5K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.5K |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Politics | NoResolved | $3.1K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2.1K | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $519 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$519 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Politics | NoResolved | $2.0K | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $298 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$298 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $6.9K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.9K |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $169 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$169 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5.5K | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.5K |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3.2K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.2K |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.3K | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $547 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$547 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $656 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$656 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $3.4K | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $3.0K | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5.6K | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.6K |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $251 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$251 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | NoResolved | $2.9K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | NoResolved | $6.1K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.1K |