← Whale Watch

M2sx92kljs42

Predicting since Oct 2025499 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $28K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $18K riding on Trump out as President before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$6.5K on Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$18K92¢94¢+$300
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18K91¢92¢+$100
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$5.1K33¢69¢+$5.4K
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$5.4K59¢66¢+$575
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.1K88¢97¢+$511
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.8K75¢99¢+$1.2K
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$6.4K79¢48¢-$2.5K
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K56¢69¢+$341
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K82¢87¢+$68
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K65¢66¢+$8
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K76¢73¢-$59
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$94889¢99¢+$106
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$91290¢100¢+$98
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$70593¢90¢-$19
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$51578¢91¢+$85
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23352¢95¢+$191
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$31175¢94¢+$75
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$29280¢87¢+$26
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?PoliticsNo$18773¢93¢+$51
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$16266¢93¢+$66
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$12382¢100¢+$27
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$8278¢99¢+$22
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8572¢69¢-$4
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6366¢81¢+$14
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsNo$7638¢32¢-$13
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$2240¢81¢+$23
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$15616¢4.5¢-$112
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2647¢67¢+$11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$8457¢9.0¢-$71
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K90¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3.0K33¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?PoliticsNoResolved$94593¢0.0¢-$945
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7.0K49¢0.0¢-$7.0K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$37074¢0.0¢-$370
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K34¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?PoliticsYesResolved$50.4¢0.0¢-$5
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$78161¢0.0¢-$781
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
US bank failure by July 31?EconomyNoResolved$81683¢0.0¢-$816
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?PoliticsNoResolved$10K66¢0.0¢-$10K
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.5K54¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?PoliticsNoResolved$3.1K45¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K79¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$65.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$41.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$29894¢0.0¢-$298
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$6.9K65¢0.0¢-$6.9K
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16960¢0.0¢-$169
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.5K57¢0.0¢-$5.5K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3.2K46¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K41¢0.0¢-$1.3K
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$54786¢0.0¢-$547
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$65674¢0.0¢-$656
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?PoliticsNoResolved$3.4K56¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$3.0K67¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsYesResolved$2.2K74¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$25113¢0.0¢-$251
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K19¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$243.8¢0.0¢-$24
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K68¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$2.9K44¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$292.0¢0.0¢-$29
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K10¢0.0¢-$1.0K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$28K
Tech-$3.8K
Culture+$528
Economy-$435
Finance+$414
NFL+$105
Mentions-$10
Crypto+$5
Other sports-$3
eSports+$1
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$6.5K
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$14K
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?$94h ago
  • Bought No · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$1.1K1d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$9.1K1d ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$9.1K1d ago
  • Bought No · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$9131d ago
  • Bought No · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$4.4K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$1561d ago
  • Bought No · Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$3503d ago
  • Bought No · Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$543d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$143d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?$293d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$03d ago