Montecarlaw

Predicting since Oct 2025669 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.3K on Olympics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $4.7K across 2 Soccer (other) markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	No	$4.7K	66¢	55¢	-$733
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$1.1K	9.7¢	13¢	+$313
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$609	0.8¢	0.8¢	-$40
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics	No	$323	97¢	99¢	+$9
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$320	3.2¢	1.8¢	-$145
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$82	39¢	37¢	-$4
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$86	35¢	22¢	-$33
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$66	2.2¢	1.4¢	-$25
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$34	94¢	95¢	+$0
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other)	Yes	$121	18¢	2.4¢	-$105
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics	No	$10	97¢	97¢	+$0
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics	No	$7	75¢	88¢	+$1
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sports	YesResolved	$7	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$7

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Olympics+$2.3K

Politics+$1.4K

Soccer (other)-$600

Other sports-$357

Tennis+$206

Economy-$195

Bundesliga-$154

World Cup+$135

Culture+$107

Champions League+$85

Premier League+$62

Mentions-$54

Biggest hit

+$2.6K

Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Toughest beat

-$1.1K

Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Cashed out No · Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$3138h ago
Cashed out No · Will Paul Seixas finish 2nd in the 2026 Tour De France?$108h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Remco Evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$448h ago
Sold Yes · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?$415h ago
Sold No · Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$918h ago
Sold No · Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$220h ago
Sold No · Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$201d ago
Sold No · Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$31d ago
MERGE Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?$861d ago
Bought Yes · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?$111d ago
Sold No · Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$141d ago
Bought No · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?$51d ago