GTA VI released by November 30?Culture | Yes | $93 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $76 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$25 |
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $35 | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$9 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $51 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 42¢ | +$16 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance | Yes | $23 | 23¢ | 33¢ | +$10 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $36 | 45¢ | 33¢ | -$10 |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 25¢ | +$13 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$7 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 5.1¢ | 8.1¢ | +$5 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $12 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | +$7 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other) | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | Yes | $91 | 15¢ | 1.1¢ | -$84 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$6 |
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.5¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Finance | Yes | $8 | 9.4¢ | 4.8¢ | -$4 |
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 50¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $26 | 13¢ | 1.8¢ | -$23 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 17¢ | 1.5¢ | -$21 |
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $76 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 5?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $11 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Exact Score: CA Grau 0 - 0 FBC Melgar?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 22?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by August 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $9 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 5?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 23?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $8 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 22?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 24?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $11 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |