michealAR1

Predicting since Nov 202445 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$25	48¢	27¢	-$11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup	YesResolved	$9	45¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$20	54¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World Cup	YesResolved	$11	58¢	0.0¢	-$11
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5World Cup	OverResolved	$10	49¢	0.0¢	-$10
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	16¢	0.0¢	-$3
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics	NoResolved	$10	26¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5World Cup	OverResolved	$20	67¢	0.0¢	-$20
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup	YesResolved	$10	48¢	0.0¢	-$10
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5World Cup	OverResolved	$11	57¢	0.0¢	-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	32¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$2	6.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$2
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsMLB	Chicago CubsResolved	$1	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	47¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$2	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$2
Nikola Bartunkova vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5Tennis	Under 2.5Resolved	$5	34¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Politics	NoResolved	$9	41¢	0.0¢	-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	13¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech	NoResolved	$7	24¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$6	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup	YesResolved	$5	37¢	0.0¢	-$5
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5World Cup	OverResolved	$12	58¢	0.0¢	-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$9	10¢	0.0¢	-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5World Cup	OverResolved	$3	18¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$71

Tech-$47

Crypto-$22

UFC / MMA+$12

Tennis-$5

Politics+$2

MLB-$1

Biggest hit

+$18

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Toughest beat

-$9

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$361d ago
Bought Chicago Cubs · Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs$19d ago
Bought France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?$312d ago
Bought Yes · Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?$115d ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$115d ago
Bought France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$817d ago
Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$2617d ago
Bought No · Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$718d ago
Bought No · Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$218d ago
Bought Yes · GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$319d ago
Sold No · Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2620d ago
Cashed out Over · Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$2120d ago