← Whale Watch

kman86

Predicting since Mar 2026499 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?PoliticsNoResolved$10365¢100¢+$55
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2814¢13¢-$2
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?EconomyNoResolved$1586¢100¢+$2
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?EconomyNoResolved$1586¢100¢+$2
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?PoliticsYesResolved$1587¢100¢+$2
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$2512¢7.8¢-$9
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$1489¢100¢+$2
Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1490¢100¢+$2
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$1490¢100¢+$2
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1592¢100¢+$1
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$1593¢100¢+$1
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?PoliticsYesResolved$1591¢100¢+$1
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?PoliticsNoResolved$1494¢100¢+$1
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?EconomyNoResolved$1494¢100¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2549¢26¢-$12
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsYes$1615¢12¢-$4
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$1191¢100¢+$1
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?EconomyNoResolved$992¢100¢+$1
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2616¢6.0¢-$16
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?EconomyYes$1411¢7.6¢-$5
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsYes$2317¢6.5¢-$14
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$112.9¢1.2¢-$7
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1416¢5.0¢-$10
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$481¢100¢+$1
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$4717¢1.6¢-$43
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$418¢18¢+$0
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1411¢3.4¢-$10
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?TechNo$486¢98¢+$1
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$373¢100¢+$1
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?TechNo$475¢76¢+$0
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?CultureNo$386¢93¢+$0
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$259¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$271¢100¢+$1
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$269¢100¢+$1
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?TechNoResolved$383¢100¢+$1
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$367¢76¢+$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$274¢100¢+$1
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?TechYes$69.5¢4.5¢-$3
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?TechNo$368¢65¢-$0
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?NHLNoResolved$289¢100¢+$0
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?PoliticsNo$262¢83¢+$1
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$266¢94¢+$1
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsYes$520¢10¢-$3
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$523¢12¢-$2
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$913¢3.6¢-$6
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyYes$315¢13¢-$1
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?BundesligaYesResolved$142¢100¢+$1
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$517¢7.2¢-$3
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$374¢56¢-$1
Will Elon register any party before 2027?PoliticsYes$1118¢3.5¢-$9
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?NBAYesResolved$127¢100¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$257¢51¢-$0
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$162¢100¢+$1
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$310¢6.5¢-$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?EconomyYes$510.0¢3.7¢-$3
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$272¢85¢+$0
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?TechNo$277¢91¢+$0
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?PoliticsYes$39.3¢5.5¢-$1
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$41.5¢0.6¢-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$012¢100¢+$1
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$276¢57¢-$1
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$262¢56¢-$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$178¢88¢+$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyYes$134¢37¢+$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$259¢46¢-$0
Obama federally charged before 2027?PoliticsYes$415¢5.1¢-$2
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$418¢5.9¢-$2
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsYes$310¢3.9¢-$2
Obama divorce before 2027?PoliticsYes$310.0¢3.9¢-$2
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$416¢4.5¢-$3
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?PoliticsNoResolved$168¢100¢+$0
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$195¢100¢+$0
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?PoliticsYes$210.0¢4.5¢-$1
Will the Arizona Coyotes win the Central Division?NHLYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Epstein client list released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$178¢0.0¢-$1
Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?BundesligaYesResolved$1712¢0.0¢-$17
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?PoliticsYesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$15546¢0.0¢-$155
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?TennisYesResolved$1315¢0.0¢-$13
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Quinton Byfield win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?NHLYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Rayo Vallecano finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?La LigaYesResolved$383.3¢0.0¢-$38
Will Miro Heiskanen win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?NHLYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$4612¢0.0¢-$46
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4130¢0.0¢-$41
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4514¢0.0¢-$45
Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Premier LeagueYesResolved$152.0¢0.0¢-$15
New Half-Life game by June 30?Other sportsYesResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?FinanceYesResolved$018¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?NBAYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Le Havre finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?Soccer (other)YesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1214¢0.0¢-$12
Will Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?Serie AYesResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$715
NHL-$296
Culture-$246
Crypto-$216
Premier League-$210
Tech-$90
Serie A-$88
Weather-$78
Soccer (other)-$61
La Liga-$32
World Cup-$24
Bundesliga-$15
Biggest hit
+$29
BitBoy convicted?
Toughest beat
-$140
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?$25d ago