← Whale Watch

R21llsa

Predicting since Nov 20252,900 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$478¢98¢+$1
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢100¢+$4
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsNo$381¢98¢+$1
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$245¢71¢+$1
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$04.2¢99¢+$3
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?PoliticsNo$377¢76¢-$0
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?TechNo$268¢80¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$158¢63¢+$0
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$152¢81¢+$1
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$126¢39¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$176¢67¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$184¢89¢+$0
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsYes$241¢20¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?PoliticsYes$141¢45¢+$0
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$06.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$024¢0.0¢-$0
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$09.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?PoliticsYesResolved$281¢0.0¢-$2
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$02.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?PoliticsYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$015¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$02.6¢0.0¢-$0
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$50.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$016¢0.0¢-$0
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$03.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$015¢0.0¢-$0
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$02.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$162.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$016¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$014¢0.0¢-$0
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$025¢0.0¢-$0
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?TechYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$020¢0.0¢-$0
Will Meta acquire TikTok?PoliticsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$04.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$015¢0.0¢-$0
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$264¢0.0¢-$2
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?PoliticsNoResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?PoliticsYesResolved$04.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$010¢0.0¢-$0
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$02.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$06.2¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NBA+$116
Soccer (other)+$91
Crypto-$81
Boxing+$52
Politics+$31
Champions League+$31
Basketball (other)+$30
eSports+$26
Weather+$22
Economy+$17
Tech-$17
Cricket+$14
Biggest hit
+$42
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
Toughest beat
-$30
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 17-23?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?$28d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$010d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$011d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$013d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$715d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$017d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$017d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$017d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$017d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$119d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$119d ago