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TungstenTamaki

Predicting since Oct 2025230 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$7715¢7.0¢-$42
Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?CultureNoResolved$137.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?TechYesResolved$120.4¢0.0¢-$12
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2411.6¢0.0¢-$241
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$251.1¢0.0¢-$25
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$141.7¢0.0¢-$14
Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?CultureYesResolved$220.8¢0.0¢-$22
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?TechYesResolved$150.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?TechYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?TechNoResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?TechYesResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?CryptoETHResolved$80.7¢0.0¢-$8
Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$163.3¢0.0¢-$16
Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsNoResolved$1502.6¢0.0¢-$150
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jasper win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?TechYesResolved$80.2¢0.0¢-$8
Will Kristen Foxen win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?CultureYesResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$013¢0.0¢-$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 10 above $520?FinanceYesResolved$21.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$52.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tetsuo Saito be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?PoliticsYesResolved$32.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureNoResolved$8311¢0.0¢-$83
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$4826¢0.0¢-$48
Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Matt Berkey win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 190 and 204 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?PoliticsYesResolved$80.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?WeatherYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?CultureYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nacho Barbero win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Vinny Lingham win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$201.6¢0.0¢-$20
Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?PoliticsYesResolved$93.5¢0.0¢-$9
Will Johnnie Vibes win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 220 and 234 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?PoliticsYesResolved$100.4¢0.0¢-$10
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?TechYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$112.3¢0.0¢-$11
Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kevin Pollak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Andrew Robl win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 16 2025?TechYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Jonathan Jaffe win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?CryptoYesResolved$42.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?PoliticsNoResolved$567.5¢0.0¢-$56
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?PoliticsNoResolved$3203.1¢0.0¢-$320
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?PoliticsYesResolved$70.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will Maria Konnikova win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?TechNoResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Apple reach $316 in November?FinanceYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple reach $300 in November?FinanceYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?PoliticsYesResolved$810.9¢0.0¢-$81
Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Japanese Snap Election Called by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$100.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?WeatherNoResolved$85.9¢0.0¢-$8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?TechNoResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?PoliticsYesResolved$40.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?CultureYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?PoliticsYesResolved$40.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will Yūichirō Tamaki be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by less than 130 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kasey Lyn Mills win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil God win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsYesResolved$731.7¢0.0¢-$73
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?TechYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$749
Culture+$224
Weather-$53
Tech-$34
Crypto-$18
Finance-$15
Tennis-$1
Other sports-$1
Biggest hit
+$389
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Toughest beat
-$100
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$363mo ago
  • Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$234mo ago
  • Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$214mo ago
  • Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$204mo ago
  • Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$194mo ago
  • Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$184mo ago
  • Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$174mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$65mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$25mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$15mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$35mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 190 and 204 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$15mo ago