← Whale Watch

Shonepancake

Predicting since Oct 202597 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$132¢89¢+$2
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$166¢93¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$168¢86¢+$0
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$182¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?La LigaYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?Premier LeagueYesResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?PoliticsYesResolved$14.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by October 31?TechYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?PoliticsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Felix Bour win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?Other sportsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?PoliticsNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in November?PoliticsYesResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
Knicks vs. BullsNBAKnicksResolved$164¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?CultureNoResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will turnout be less than 66% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?CryptoNoResolved$172¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?EconomyYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?CryptoYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)CultureYesResolved$196¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?TechYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?Champions LeagueYesResolved$174¢0.0¢-$1
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob FearnleyTennisFearnleyResolved$169¢0.0¢-$1
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?Premier LeagueYesResolved$162¢0.0¢-$1
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in October?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?TechYesResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureNoResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Lakers vs. GrizzliesNBAGrizzliesResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?CultureAvatarResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?MLBYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?TechYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Viktorija GolubicTennisGolubicResolved$172¢0.0¢-$1
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 43.0 on October 31 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?MentionsYesResolved$178¢0.0¢-$1
Will York City FC win on 2025-11-01?Soccer (other)YesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?TechYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 31?CryptoYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will exactly 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$199¢0.0¢-$1
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit KoprivaTennisOpelkaResolved$171¢0.0¢-$1
Timberwolves vs. NetsNBANetsResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will MrBeast change his X profile picture by December 31?CultureNoResolved$181¢0.0¢-$1
Will FC Alverca win on 2025-10-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-02?La LigaYesResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?FinanceNoResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$15
Champions League-$11
Tech-$9
Crypto-$6
Culture-$5
Economy-$5
Soccer (other)+$4
La Liga-$3
Finance-$2
Premier League-$1
Other sports-$1
MLB-$1
Biggest hit
+$3
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-01?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$15mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$25mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Megaquake by November 30?$17mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel strikes Iran by November 30?$17mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$18mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$18mo ago