Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $15 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin above $124K on August 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Other | YesResolved | $46 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin above $120K on August 18?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin above $110K on September 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |