← Whale Watch

Kapii

Predicting since Feb 2024865 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $450K on Politics markets since Feb 2024.

Right now: $33K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$190K on Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will SP win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?PoliticsYesResolved$7652¢0.0¢-$76
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?PoliticsNoResolved$65661¢0.0¢-$656
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?TechNoResolved$1.1K25¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$23K61¢0.0¢-$23K
Will the Blue Bloc win by 1–4 seats?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?MentionsNoResolved$3.4K49¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will PAS win by between 8-12% of the vote?PoliticsYesResolved$4220¢0.0¢-$42
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsYesResolved$23548¢0.0¢-$235
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$11224¢0.0¢-$112
Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K70¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?PoliticsNoResolved$4.5K77¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?PoliticsYesResolved$156.0¢0.0¢-$15
Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?PoliticsNoResolved$62516¢0.0¢-$625
Will Ap win the second most seats in the Norway election?PoliticsYesResolved$4617¢0.0¢-$46
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsNoResolved$25863¢0.0¢-$258
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsNoResolved$11K66¢0.0¢-$11K
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2.3K37¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$8.5K85¢0.0¢-$8.5K
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$1.3K23¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?WeatherYesResolved$2.8K4.7¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsYesResolved$1.5K36¢0.0¢-$1.5K
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$4.5K20¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$5224¢0.0¢-$52
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$2.0K36¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$2.1K4.5¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Andrew Cuomo’s vote share be less than 35% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?PoliticsYesResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Will October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?WeatherNoResolved$5915¢0.0¢-$59
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsNoResolved$1.0K57¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$4.2K30¢0.0¢-$4.2K
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3084.1¢0.0¢-$308
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?WeatherNoResolved$15K70¢0.0¢-$15K
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$1.6K32¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will PAS win by between 4-8% of the vote?PoliticsYesResolved$1914¢0.0¢-$19
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?WeatherYesResolved$1.1K1.0¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$6.5K16¢0.0¢-$6.5K
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$55656¢0.0¢-$556
Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats?PoliticsYesResolved$92019¢0.0¢-$920
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?PoliticsYesResolved$6263.1¢0.0¢-$626
F1 Italian GP: Verstappen vs. PiastriOther sportsPiastriResolved$1.6K33¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?PoliticsYesResolved$2828.8¢0.0¢-$282
Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?PoliticsYesResolved$25513¢0.0¢-$255
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K5.8¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$8.9K51¢0.0¢-$8.9K
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$7.9K36¢0.0¢-$7.9K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$450K
Mentions-$61K
Formula 1-$20K
Tech+$15K
Weather-$12K
Other-$7.3K
Crypto+$4.4K
Other sports-$3.4K
Economy+$2.9K
Premier League+$570
Culture-$0
Biggest hit
+$190K
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Toughest beat
-$25K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$3666mo ago
  • Sold No · Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?$06mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$156mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$316mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$136mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$256mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$146mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$56mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$146mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$116mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$96mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$136mo ago