← Whale Watch

theta-thunberg

Predicting since Jul 2025829 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $32K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $4.0K riding on Clacton by-election Winner.

Biggest hit: +$4.5K on Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$4.0K93¢96¢+$146
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K71¢88¢+$301
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$93721¢23¢+$83
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?PoliticsNo$71584¢93¢+$73
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22846¢99¢+$263
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?PoliticsYes$26918¢30¢+$182
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$62045¢31¢-$200
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$39579¢81¢+$8
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$12624¢72¢+$250
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?TechYes$20742¢45¢+$16
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18195¢100¢+$9
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$12141¢51¢+$31
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$18011¢7.4¢-$62
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$5624¢49¢+$56
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$6863¢72¢+$9
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?WeatherNo$255.5¢4.7¢-$4
GPU rental prices (H200) Up or Down in July?TechUp$841¢91¢+$10
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$10.2¢4.0¢+$12
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$2212¢1.9¢-$19
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$38.8¢10¢+$0
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?CultureYes$19.0¢19¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?PoliticsYes$11.2¢1.4¢+$0
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$33.4¢1.2¢-$2
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K15¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$153.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Wes Streeting be in the Burnham cabinet?PoliticsNoResolved$226.5¢0.0¢-$22
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 22?PoliticsYesResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14311¢0.0¢-$143
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$23.4¢0.0¢-$2
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 20?PoliticsNoResolved$11810¢0.0¢-$118
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 20?PoliticsNoResolved$5311¢0.0¢-$53
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$213.7¢0.0¢-$21
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$735¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$272.7¢0.0¢-$27
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?PoliticsYesResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?TechYesResolved$4913¢0.0¢-$49
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?TechNoResolved$1314¢0.0¢-$13
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1965.2¢0.0¢-$196

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$32K
Tech+$6.0K
Other+$2.3K
Crypto+$2.1K
Culture+$1.9K
Weather+$327
Finance+$318
Economy-$219
Mentions-$165
World Cup+$116
eSports-$95
NBA-$31
Biggest hit
+$4.5K
Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
AWS service disrupted by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?$261m ago
  • Bought No · Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$120m ago
  • Bought Yes · Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Restore receives 10%+ first preference votes?$2781h ago
  • Bought Yes · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1802h ago
  • Bought No · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$124h ago
  • Bought No · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$1.3K4h ago
  • Sold Yes · ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?$1156h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?$31d ago
  • Bought No · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?$2772d ago
  • Bought No · Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$4462d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?$843d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$1644d ago