← Whale Watch

tiongbu

Predicting since Feb 20263,931 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.9K on eSports markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $4.0K riding on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gentle Mates Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2eSportsU 2.5$22574¢30¢-$134
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$8476¢77¢+$0
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$4077¢100¢+$12
Will Team Secret Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2eSportsU 1.5$6463¢50¢-$13
Will Eternal Fire Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2eSportsO 2.5$6059¢50¢-$9
Will GIANTX Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2eSportsU 1.5$6059¢50¢-$9
Will KRÜ Esports Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2eSportsU 2.5$8382¢50¢-$32
Will Team Secret Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2eSportsO 1.5$3232¢50¢+$18
Will Cloud9 Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2eSportsU 2.5$9089¢50¢-$40
Will Global Esports Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2eSportsU 2.5$5253¢50¢-$3
Will Chetan Nehra be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?CultureNo$33.0¢49¢+$45
Will Leviatán Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2eSportsO 3.5$7170¢45¢-$26
Will Team Heretics Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2eSportsO 3.5$8988¢44¢-$44
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?TechNo$3977¢79¢+$1
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$3874¢67¢-$4
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?TechYes$3160¢66¢+$3
Will PCIFIC Esports Win More than 0.5 Matches in VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2eSportsU 0.5$6665¢33¢-$32
Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$3276¢76¢+$0
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$3568¢62¢-$3
Will Evil Geniuses Win More than 0.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2eSportsO 0.5$2788¢100¢+$4
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$3588¢78¢-$4
Will Trump post "President Xi" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$4778¢51¢-$17
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$3380¢72¢-$3
Will Trump say "Cuba" or "Cuban" this week?MentionsNo$2992¢94¢+$0
Will Trump say "Ukraine" this week?MentionsNo$2787¢93¢+$2
Will anyone say "Mercy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?MentionsYes$2788¢90¢+$1
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$2786¢87¢+$0
Will VARREL Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2eSportsU 1.5$4242¢25¢-$17
Will anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E10?MentionsNo$2168¢80¢+$4
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?MentionsNo$2496¢98¢+$0
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$2597¢95¢-$1
Will Trump say "Panther" in July?MentionsNo$2396¢95¢-$0
Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$1779¢100¢+$4
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?PoliticsNo$1781¢98¢+$4
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in July?FinanceNo$1677¢98¢+$4
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in July?FinanceNo$1877¢84¢+$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$1886¢96¢+$2
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$2871¢50¢-$8
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$2870¢50¢-$8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsNo$1783¢92¢+$2
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsNo$1985¢87¢+$0
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$1990¢89¢-$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $56B?FinanceNo$2093¢89¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1990¢88¢-$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?PoliticsYes$1991¢88¢-$1
Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?Soccer (other)No$1577¢92¢+$3
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?TechNo$1835¢34¢-$0
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechNo$1989¢84¢-$1
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1676¢83¢+$1
Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$1886¢83¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?PoliticsNo$1886¢81¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$1884¢81¢-$1
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 1?PoliticsYes$1152¢80¢+$6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$1885¢80¢-$1
Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?MentionsNo$1676¢78¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 10%?PoliticsNo$1588¢97¢+$1
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1992¢76¢-$3
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$1675¢76¢+$0
Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?MentionsNo$2064¢51¢-$4
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.5B?FinanceNo$1781¢75¢-$1
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1675¢75¢-$0
Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?CryptoNo$838¢74¢+$8
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?TechNo$1678¢74¢-$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1786¢77¢-$2
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsYes$1025¢38¢+$5
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sportsYes$512¢38¢+$10
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$2094¢72¢-$5
Will Ambient launch a token by September 30, 2027?CryptoYes$2169¢50¢-$6
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?PoliticsNo$1887¢71¢-$3
Will FURIA Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2eSportsO 2.5$3737¢15¢-$23
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$1239¢48¢+$3
Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$856¢96¢+$6
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$1991¢69¢-$5
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?PoliticsNo$314¢69¢+$11
Will anyone say "Wine" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?MentionsNo$1466¢68¢+$0
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?TechNo$1364¢68¢+$1
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by March 31, 2027?CryptoYes$622¢47¢+$7
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$1991¢63¢-$6
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1149¢60¢+$2
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1780¢61¢-$4
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechNo$1255¢60¢+$1
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsNo$1573¢60¢-$3
Will Hotstuff launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$957¢75¢+$3
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?CultureNo$1465¢58¢-$2
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1571¢58¢-$3
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureNo$1885¢58¢-$6
California Immunology Research Bond PropositionPoliticsYes$1672¢55¢-$4
Will Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$1467¢57¢-$2
Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$1256¢56¢+$0
Will Natus Vincere Win More than 4.5 Matches in LEC 2026 Summer Split?eSportsO 4.5$1153¢55¢+$0
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in July?FinanceNo$1782¢55¢-$6
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?TechNo$1362¢55¢-$2
Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$1122¢22¢+$0
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?WeatherNo$1363¢56¢-$1
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1257¢53¢-$1
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $210 in July?FinanceNo$1091¢97¢+$1
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?PoliticsNo$1576¢54¢-$5
Trump approval Up or Down this week?PoliticsDownResolved$1047¢50¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 18?WeatherNoResolved$1096¢100¢+$0
Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.5B?FinanceYes$1364¢49¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

eSports-$4.9K
Crypto-$4.6K
World Cup-$4.3K
Tennis-$2.9K
Politics-$1.7K
Champions League+$859
Cricket-$715
UFC / MMA-$522
Mentions-$463
Weather-$402
Finance-$358
Premier League+$279
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?$191h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?$41h ago
  • Bought No · Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?$102h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?$183h ago
  • Sold No · Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?$03h ago
  • Sold No · Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will anyone say "Mercy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?$33h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will anyone say "Mercy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?$183h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will anyone say "Mercy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?$63h ago