 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?Politics | No | $754 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$142 |
 Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $742 | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$122 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $759 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$66 |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $750 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$66 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $653 | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$102 |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $699 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$45 |
 Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | No | $683 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$41 |
 Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $661 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $568 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$113 |
 Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics | No | $592 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$75 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Economy | No | $623 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$23 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $748 | 72¢ | 60¢ | -$127 |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $753 | 76¢ | 62¢ | -$138 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $577 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$25 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Politics | No | $603 | 73¢ | 73¢ | -$8 |
 Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | No | $519 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$71 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $546 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$36 |
 Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Politics | No | $404 | 65¢ | 93¢ | +$173 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $522 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$47 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%?Politics | No | $448 | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$51 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Politics | No | $410 | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$72 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%?Politics | No | $415 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$29 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $477 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$44 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $750 | 66¢ | 38¢ | -$321 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $759 | 69¢ | 35¢ | -$380 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $758 | 65¢ | 28¢ | -$437 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?Politics | No | $267 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$26 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Politics | No | $221 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $239 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $231 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$12 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?Politics | No | $212 | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$21 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $212 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$16 |
 Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Politics | No | $170 | 78¢ | 86¢ | +$18 |
 Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $160 | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$18 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $160 | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$15 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?Politics | No | $95 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics | No | $89 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | Yes | $91 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?Politics | No | $98 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$4 |
| Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $90 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 55% or more?Politics | No | $73 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 65%-70%?Politics | No | $57 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $53 | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $53 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $75 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Economy | NoResolved | $385 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$385 |
 Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $382 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $382 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture | NoResolved | $759 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$759 |
 Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $330 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?Culture | NoResolved | $115 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $385 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$385 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?Mentions | NoResolved | $334 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$334 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | NoResolved | $386 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$386 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" during June 24 Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $476 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$476 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?Mentions | NoResolved | $169 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$169 |
 Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $380 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$380 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 42%-44%?Finance | NoResolved | $361 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$361 |
 Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?Culture | NoResolved | $251 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$251 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | NoResolved | $304 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$304 |
 Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | NoResolved | $382 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Politics | NoResolved | $375 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$375 |
 Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $764 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$764 |
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$4541d ago