← Whale Watch

SatisfiedQuadrant

Predicting since May 202689 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.6K on Politics markets since May 2026.

Right now: $783 riding on Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$75680¢98¢+$167
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?PoliticsNo$76481¢93¢+$113
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$78383¢92¢+$84
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$76478¢82¢+$38
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$60278¢100¢+$167
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?PoliticsNo$51979¢99¢+$130
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$64587¢69¢-$130
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$37873¢99¢+$132
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38572¢86¢+$80
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$38579¢92¢+$63
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$38073¢83¢+$52
Will Jack Bergman be the MI-01 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$37986¢95¢+$38
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$38685¢91¢+$27
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsNo$38288¢93¢+$23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$37390¢97¢+$29
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$38077¢81¢+$19
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?EconomyNo$38872¢74¢+$10
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?PoliticsNo$37477¢81¢+$21
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$36575¢79¢+$19
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$37788¢89¢+$2
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?EconomyNo$38589¢88¢-$6
Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$38279¢78¢-$7
Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$38285¢83¢-$7
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$39482¢78¢-$22
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 42%-44%?FinanceNo$36186¢88¢+$6
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$30474¢84¢+$42
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsNo$28486¢87¢+$5
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?CultureNo$38285¢35¢-$223
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$38686¢27¢-$265
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$10074¢75¢+$1
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$10083¢83¢-$1
Will Procter & Gamble say "Valuation" during earnings call?MentionsNo$10086¢85¢-$1
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$10078¢77¢-$1
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$9987¢86¢-$1
Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$9375¢75¢-$0
Will John Hughs advance to the general election for WA-04?PoliticsNo$8695¢98¢+$3
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?PoliticsNo$8291¢95¢+$4
Will Zac Rossi advance to the general election for WA-04?PoliticsNo$1994¢98¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?PoliticsNo$1382¢95¢+$2
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsNo$4873¢6.5¢-$44
Will Trump say "Bomb" or "Bomber" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsYesResolved$7575¢0.0¢-$75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?FinanceNoResolved$38275¢0.0¢-$382
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?TechNoResolved$33085¢0.0¢-$330
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?CultureNoResolved$11589¢0.0¢-$115
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$33486¢0.0¢-$334
Will Trump say "MAGA" during June 24 Rally?MentionsYesResolved$47675¢0.0¢-$476
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$16968¢0.0¢-$169
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?CultureNoResolved$25165¢0.0¢-$251
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$76483¢0.0¢-$764

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.6K
World Cup-$764
Mentions-$662
Culture-$195
Tech-$179
Finance+$109
Economy+$34
Biggest hit
+$263
Will Trump say "Weightlifter" or "Weightlifting" during June 24 Rally?
Toughest beat
-$14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$2213m ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$818m ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$2428m ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$2551m ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$121h ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$141h ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$151h ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$331h ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$342h ago
  • Sold No · Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$142h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?$10015h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?$10015h ago