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Asphalt

Predicting since Nov 202438 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $581 across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$49976¢86¢+$68
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$132.9¢0.0¢-$13
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$2519¢0.0¢-$25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?PoliticsNoResolved$5719¢0.0¢-$57
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?TechYesResolved$534.0¢0.0¢-$53
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?TechYesResolved$25078¢0.0¢-$250

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$736
Tech-$244
Crypto-$68
Weather-$35
Culture-$13
Formula 1-$4
Biggest hit
+$414
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Toughest beat
-$36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$39916h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$10017h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$37617h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10317h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$201d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$132d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$132d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2753d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$193d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1373d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$4315d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$3906d ago