Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.7¢ | 17¢ | +$37 |
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $5 | 2.2¢ | 8.1¢ | +$13 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 1.4¢ | 2.6¢ | +$4 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.3¢ | 2.0¢ | +$3 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$8 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.2¢ | 2.3¢ | +$0 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $5 | 1.7¢ | 1.7¢ | -$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.8¢ | 1.7¢ | -$0 |
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.6¢ | 1.2¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$2 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$3 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.5¢ | -$3 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$8 |
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 0.8¢ | -$4 |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will three people dissent the June Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the People's Bank of China decrease rates in April?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |