← Whale Watch

return-of-the-king

Predicting since Jul 2026346 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$8154¢54¢-$1
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?TechYes$7361¢43¢-$22
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?CultureNo$5190¢89¢-$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechYes$4468¢67¢-$1
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?CultureYes$4465¢64¢-$1
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?EconomyNo$4584¢75¢-$5
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?PoliticsYes$4362¢57¢-$3
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?FinanceNo$3952¢53¢+$0
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?PoliticsNo$4284¢76¢-$4
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$3854¢53¢-$1
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?PoliticsNo$3885¢79¢-$3
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$4275¢64¢-$6
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$4372¢59¢-$8
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$3264¢68¢+$2
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?TechYes$3265¢67¢+$1
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$3574¢69¢-$2
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?MentionsNo$3679¢72¢-$3
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?OtherYes$4053¢43¢-$8
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceYes$4462¢45¢-$12
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?CultureYes$3134¢34¢+$0
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?CultureYes$4465¢43¢-$15
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?TechNo$3547¢39¢-$6
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechNo$2880¢80¢-$0
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechYes$3366¢56¢-$5
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechNo$4190¢62¢-$13
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?PoliticsNo$2953¢49¢-$3
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?PoliticsYes$2938¢35¢-$2
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?TechNo$4181¢52¢-$14
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$4043¢28¢-$14
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3851¢34¢-$13
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechNo$2448¢51¢+$1
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31?PoliticsNo$3467¢51¢-$8
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4468¢39¢-$19
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$3616¢11¢-$12
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?TechNo$2584¢78¢-$2
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?PoliticsNo$2388¢90¢+$0
Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?CultureNo$2351¢49¢-$1
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2141¢43¢+$1
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?EconomyYes$2440¢36¢-$2
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?PoliticsYes$2345¢43¢-$1
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsYes$2225¢24¢-$1
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$3242¢28¢-$11
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechNo$2040¢41¢+$1
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.5T in 2026?CryptoNo$2821¢16¢-$8
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2232¢26¢-$4
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?FinanceYes$2818¢11¢-$11
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?PoliticsYes$2228¢21¢-$5
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?TechYes$1726¢25¢-$1
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?PoliticsYes$2211¢8.0¢-$6
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?PoliticsYes$1612¢11¢-$2
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?TechYes$2230¢19¢-$8
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$1435¢35¢+$0
Will AVAX reach $9 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1530¢27¢-$2
Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$2139¢24¢-$8
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?TechYes$2029¢19¢-$7
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1365¢60¢-$1
Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$620¢38¢+$6
Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?CultureYes$1562¢49¢-$3
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?CultureNo$2262¢32¢-$11
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsYes$912¢14¢+$2
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?PoliticsNo$2434¢16¢-$13
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?CultureNo$1214¢13¢-$1
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?CultureYes$2025¢14¢-$9
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureYes$1119¢19¢-$0
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026?EconomyYes$1220¢18¢-$1
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 1?PoliticsNo$2142¢21¢-$11
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$1143¢42¢-$0
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?TechYes$1121¢20¢-$1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?PoliticsNo$933¢34¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?PoliticsNo$1181¢69¢-$2
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$979¢80¢+$0
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?PoliticsYes$2232¢13¢-$14
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?PoliticsYes$2225¢9.5¢-$14
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?PoliticsYes$837¢38¢+$0
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 in July?FinanceYes$2542¢14¢-$17
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?EconomyNo$718¢19¢+$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$1163¢36¢-$5
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?EconomyYes$1116¢8.9¢-$5
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?CultureNo$712¢10¢-$1
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?PoliticsYes$626¢26¢-$0
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$817¢12¢-$2
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?CultureNo$610¢10¢+$0
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$1146¢23¢-$5
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?TechNo$552¢52¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsYes$519¢20¢+$0
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?EconomyNo$753¢40¢-$2
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?TechYes$2228¢6.0¢-$17
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?PoliticsYes$712¢8.0¢-$2
Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$479¢78¢-$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$479¢93¢+$1
Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$461¢72¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?PoliticsYes$111.9¢0.8¢-$7
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$427¢27¢-$0
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBAYes$486¢87¢+$0
Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed artist for 2026?CultureYes$59.1¢7.0¢-$1
Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?TechYes$511¢9.5¢-$1
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureNo$482¢73¢-$0
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July?FinanceNo$381¢86¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$248¢82¢+$1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?FinanceYes$1115¢4.3¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$839
Politics-$598
Culture-$321
Mentions-$175
Finance-$157
Tech-$130
Economy-$78
eSports+$69
NBA-$49
Crypto-$37
MLB-$19
Other-$12
Biggest hit
+$461
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Toughest beat
-$461
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$204m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?$115m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?$2222m ago
  • Sold No · Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in July?$521h ago
  • Sold Yes · Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$361h ago
  • Sold No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$31h ago
  • Sold No · Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$71h ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$811h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?$361h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$31h ago
  • Sold No · Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$51h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$41h ago