← Whale Watch

chopwood

Predicting since Jun 2026208 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$2040¢27¢-$7
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$1365¢63¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$2040¢25¢-$8
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1428¢23¢-$3
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1263¢59¢-$1
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$851¢66¢+$2
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechNo$943¢44¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1429¢17¢-$6
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$1122¢17¢-$3
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$825¢23¢-$1
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$1157¢38¢-$4
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsYes$533¢43¢+$2
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$944¢30¢-$3
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$735¢29¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$611¢10¢-$1
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureYes$740¢25¢-$3
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechYes$843¢24¢-$4
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsNo$544¢38¢-$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$612¢8.0¢-$2
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?TechYes$630¢20¢-$2
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$329¢33¢+$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechYes$237¢59¢+$1
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBNo$372¢81¢+$0
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$134¢84¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?PoliticsYes$918¢5.5¢-$6
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$422¢13¢-$2
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?TechYes$629¢13¢-$3
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$317¢13¢-$1
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?PoliticsYes$539¢19¢-$3
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsYes$815¢4.5¢-$5
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?PoliticsYes$214¢12¢-$0
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?PoliticsYes$163¢95¢+$1
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?TechYes$736¢9.5¢-$5
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?eSportsYes$346¢20¢-$2
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$234¢27¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?PoliticsNo$131¢34¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$124¢30¢+$0
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$317¢5.6¢-$2
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$152¢48¢-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1835¢0.0¢-$18
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?TechNoResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?TechNoResolved$737¢0.0¢-$7
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?TechNoResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Satan" in June?MentionsYesResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?PoliticsNoResolved$842¢0.0¢-$8
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?TechNoResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$018¢0.0¢-$0
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?EconomyYesResolved$014¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?PoliticsNoResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?PoliticsYesResolved$1122¢0.0¢-$11
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by June 30?TechYesResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$87
Politics-$60
Crypto-$35
World Cup-$17
Culture-$8
Finance-$8
MLB-$3
eSports-$2
Weather+$1
NBA+$1
Mentions+$0
Economy+$0
Biggest hit
+$12
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?
Toughest beat
-$12
Will Rúben Dias score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$242h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$245h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$619h ago
  • Sold No · Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$31d ago
  • Sold No · Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$111d ago
  • Bought No · Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$191d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$52d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$92d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?$64d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$24d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$74d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$34d ago