 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.8K | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$391 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.7K | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$186 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.3K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$51 |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.3K | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$49 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $1.2K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$61 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | Yes | $707 | 54¢ | 78¢ | +$313 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $677 | 37¢ | 50¢ | +$235 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | No | $825 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$67 |
 Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $744 | 39¢ | 43¢ | +$72 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $258 | 34¢ | 98¢ | +$488 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $615 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$130 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $431 | 40¢ | 56¢ | +$168 |
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $53 | 4.4¢ | 49¢ | +$538 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $452 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$103 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $419 | 35¢ | 45¢ | +$124 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $224 | 41¢ | 95¢ | +$292 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $486 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics | No | $424 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$68 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $237 | 24¢ | 50¢ | +$254 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 3.8¢ | 98¢ | +$471 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.7K | 35¢ | 8.1¢ | -$1.3K |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Politics | No | $294 | 68¢ | 86¢ | +$76 |
 Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?Culture | No | $184 | 34¢ | 66¢ | +$172 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $304 | 7.2¢ | 7.4¢ | +$12 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | Yes | $283 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$10 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $337 | 71¢ | 60¢ | -$51 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $203 | 23¢ | 28¢ | +$51 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $196 | 36¢ | 47¢ | +$56 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $246 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$5 |
| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | No | $186 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics | No | $134 | 66¢ | 88¢ | +$43 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $109 | 45¢ | 69¢ | +$59 |
 Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?Culture | Yes | $86 | 43¢ | 75¢ | +$65 |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $99 | 10¢ | 15¢ | +$51 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $141 | 45¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $132 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $124 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $118 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | Yes | $181 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$63 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $65 | 7.8¢ | 13¢ | +$40 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $96 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $103 | 12¢ | 10¢ | -$17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $76 | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$10 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $59 | 5.9¢ | 8.6¢ | +$27 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $81 | 98¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $48 | 15¢ | 23¢ | +$26 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Other sports | No | $42 | 1.8¢ | 2.6¢ | +$20 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$30 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $44 | 29¢ | 39¢ | +$15 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $42 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$15 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $53 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | No | $43 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $50 | 41¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $43 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics | No | $35 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Politics | Yes | $55 | 84¢ | 53¢ | -$20 |
| Will "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" be the song of the summer?Culture | Yes | $26 | 2.7¢ | 3.1¢ | +$4 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 2.6¢ | +$21 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Other sports | No | $15 | 1.9¢ | 2.5¢ | +$5 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 1.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 8.6¢ | 7.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $191 | 15¢ | 0.9¢ | -$180 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$49 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $76 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$70 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $128 | 8.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$122 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Other sports | No | $5 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 3.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$16 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?Culture | Yes | $8 | 2.7¢ | 1.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $736 | 10.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$732 |
 Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 34¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
| Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $18 | 1.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$15 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31?Tech | No | $3 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $141 | 7.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$138 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 3.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$16 |
| Will "CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro" be the song of the summer?Culture | Yes | $16 | 2.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$14 |
| Will "Kingdom of Fear - Cameron Whitcomb" be the song of the summer?Culture | Yes | $10 | 2.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$9 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 2.7¢ | +$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 3.8¢ | 0.2¢ | -$18 |
