 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $9.0K | 50¢ | 82¢ | +$5.8K |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9.0K | 50¢ | 18¢ | -$5.8K |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$86 |
 Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $59 | 4.8¢ | 86¢ | +$991 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $99 | 10¢ | 65¢ | +$539 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $543 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$37 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $474 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$39 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $409 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$74 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $398 | 39¢ | 46¢ | +$72 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics | No | $398 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$57 |
 Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?Culture | No | $184 | 34¢ | 83¢ | +$267 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $445 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$16 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $345 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$76 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $397 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $364 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Politics | No | $294 | 68¢ | 83¢ | +$61 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $214 | 26¢ | 41¢ | +$118 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $300 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$14 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $264 | 57¢ | 66¢ | +$40 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $279 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $323 | 38¢ | 31¢ | -$64 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | No | $159 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$100 |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $744 | 39¢ | 10¢ | -$555 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics | No | $134 | 66¢ | 90¢ | +$47 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $141 | 58¢ | 69¢ | +$25 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $150 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Politics | Yes | $96 | 9.9¢ | 15¢ | +$49 |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | Yes | $68 | 10¢ | 18¢ | +$51 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $86 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $66 | 15¢ | 19¢ | +$16 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $59 | 5.9¢ | 8.1¢ | +$22 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $70 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$9 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $75 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $71 | 3.6¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | No | $69 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$7 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $58 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Other sports | No | $25 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 6.5¢ | 6.9¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $35 | 4.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$15 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 9.9¢ | 4.2¢ | -$14 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $12 | 31¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 1.4¢ | 6.6¢ | +$7 |
| Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $24 | 1.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$18 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 34¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 8.6¢ | 0.9¢ | -$15 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.0¢ | 5.0¢ | +$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Bought Yes · Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$019m ago