← Whale Watch

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Predicting since May 2026858 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$317¢28¢+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$482¢82¢+$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$480¢80¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$474¢80¢+$0
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$375¢99¢+$1
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$125¢42¢+$1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$24.0¢5.1¢+$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$295¢100¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$234¢33¢-$0
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsYes$223¢25¢+$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$22.8¢2.6¢-$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$12.2¢2.9¢+$0
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30.8¢0.5¢-$1
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10.8¢0.9¢+$0
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$118¢21¢+$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10.9¢0.9¢+$0
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?PoliticsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 15 2026?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 4?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on July 9?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?PoliticsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on June 16?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 15 2026?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 7?WeatherYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on July 2?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$04.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5%?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 1?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?FinanceNoResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 11?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 1–2%?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 7?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Booming" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 10?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 in May?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on July 10?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?FinanceNoResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on July 10?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?PoliticsNoResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?PoliticsYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 25 2026?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?FinanceYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will anyone say "Let's Go" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?MentionsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?FinanceNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 30?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?TechNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?CultureYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will France win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 Week of June 29 2026?FinanceYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in May?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?FinanceNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $79 Week of May 11 2026?FinanceNoResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of July 6 2026?FinanceNoResolved$03.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$03.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?WeatherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureNoResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 1?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$03.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$279
Mentions+$12
Tech+$8
Economy-$3
Finance+$1
Weather+$1
Culture-$1
Other-$0
Biggest hit
+$320
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$61
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$424m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$02d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$03d ago