NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.8¢ | 2.6¢ | -$0 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 2.9¢ | +$0 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$0 |
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 15 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 4?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 20?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on July 9?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on June 16?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 15 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on July 2?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5%?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 1?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 11?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 1–2%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 7?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Booming" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 10?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on July 10?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on July 10?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 25 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will anyone say "Let's Go" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 30?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $84 Week of June 29 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $79 Week of May 11 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of July 6 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Culture | NoResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 1?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |