 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $3.0K | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$1.8K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4.4K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$189 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$97 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$56 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$67 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$40 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $1.7K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$44 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.4K | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$87 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $1.2K | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$269 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$56 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$21 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$48 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$100 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $971 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $958 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $702 | 49¢ | 66¢ | +$245 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $864 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$37 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | Yes | $744 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$44 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $820 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$43 |
 Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $525 | 40¢ | 58¢ | +$243 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $960 | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$271 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $767 | 93¢ | 83¢ | -$85 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $516 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$118 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $598 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $582 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$16 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $609 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$30 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $474 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$104 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $492 | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$19 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $483 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$24 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $425 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$81 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $524 | 81¢ | 76¢ | -$37 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $492 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$12 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $434 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $442 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$10 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $473 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$23 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | Yes | $428 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$16 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $175 | 43¢ | 99¢ | +$233 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $387 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$18 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | Yes | $380 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $357 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$19 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $348 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$16 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $357 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$6 |
 Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $293 | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$56 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | Yes | $322 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | Yes | $408 | 68¢ | 52¢ | -$99 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $259 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$30 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $287 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $274 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $283 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $236 | 52¢ | 61¢ | +$40 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $269 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$2 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $248 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$13 |
 Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $303 | 43¢ | 37¢ | -$47 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $240 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$8 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $233 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$10 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $190 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $246 | 61¢ | 51¢ | -$44 |
 Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $229 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$30 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $195 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$4 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $191 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $218 | 55¢ | 49¢ | -$22 |
 Will Bakir Izetbegović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | Yes | $203 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$8 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $160 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$34 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $191 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $225 | 75¢ | 63¢ | -$36 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $184 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | Yes | $138 | 29¢ | 40¢ | +$48 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $128 | 32¢ | 47¢ | +$59 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $242 | 60¢ | 46¢ | -$60 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $178 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $301 | 67¢ | 38¢ | -$131 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $149 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$15 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Politics | No | $158 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $138 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$18 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $136 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$17 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | No | $128 | 64¢ | 75¢ | +$21 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $115 | 29¢ | 36¢ | +$28 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $141 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $121 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $128 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $120 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $135 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$12 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?Politics | No | $119 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $113 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$7 |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $137 | 69¢ | 60¢ | -$18 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $118 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $111 | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $120 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
 Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $116 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $102 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $89 | 4.5¢ | 5.1¢ | +$13 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $95 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" this week?Mentions | Yes | $83 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $90 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $106 | 67¢ | 59¢ | -$14 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $83 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Politics | Yes | $90 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $88 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Sold Yes · Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1430m ago
Bought Yes · Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$45h ago
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2756h ago
Bought No · Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$396h ago