← Whale Watch

fixedincome

Predicting since May 2026201 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$112¢20¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$125¢42¢+$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$141¢60¢+$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$119¢28¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$124¢34¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$164¢79¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$136¢42¢+$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$119¢22¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$118¢21¢+$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$130¢34¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$140¢44¢+$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$120¢20¢+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$123¢24¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$127¢27¢+$0
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)NBASpursResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?Soccer (other)YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle MarinersMLBSeattle MarinersResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?WeatherYesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Canada (-1.5)World CupCanadaResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?TechYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$14.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?TennisYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin DammTennisArthur RinderknechResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)NBASpursResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$18.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?TennisYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?World CupYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageeSportsOGResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Korpatsch (+1.5)TennisKorpatschResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)eSportsmagicResolved$19.9¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?World CupYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Thunder vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$16.1¢0.0¢-$1
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$175¢0.0¢-$1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevTennisDaniil MedvedevResolved$19.1¢0.0¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?World CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Roland Garros WTA: Talia Gibson vs Yulia PutintsevaTennisTalia GibsonResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$259¢0.0¢-$2
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupUnderResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Spurs vs. ThunderNBASpursResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNorwayResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Spurs vs. ThunderNBASpursResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$132¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?Soccer (other)YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?World CupYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)World CupScotlandResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupNoResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?World CupNoResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGhanaResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?MLSYesResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?Soccer (other)NoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?World CupYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?Soccer (other)YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?World CupYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$21
eSports+$10
NBA-$9
Basketball (other)+$4
Tennis-$4
Soccer (other)-$3
NHL+$2
Cricket+$2
Premier League+$2
Crypto-$1
MLB-$1
Champions League-$1
Biggest hit
+$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?$11d ago
  • Bought No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$14d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$14d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$15d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 3M Open?$15d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$76d ago