← Whale Watch

gavinfunda

Predicting since Jan 20264,509 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$19698¢98¢-$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$18693¢92¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$17688¢87¢-$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$16884¢84¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 26?WeatherNo$149100¢100¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$13065¢69¢+$9
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?WeatherNo$8797¢97¢-$0
Will the Los Angeles Angels hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$7498¢99¢+$0
Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)No$7499¢98¢-$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7397¢98¢+$1
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$7498¢97¢-$1
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$7498¢95¢-$2
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$7070¢69¢-$1
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsNo$7498¢90¢-$6
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsNo$6565¢60¢-$6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$5226¢28¢+$5
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$5191¢99¢+$5
Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)No$5599¢99¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBANo$4791¢98¢+$4
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$4996¢97¢+$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?TechNo$4998¢97¢-$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$4793¢94¢+$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?EconomyNo$4896¢96¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$4691¢94¢+$1
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)No$4998¢94¢-$2
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?PoliticsNo$4895¢92¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$4792¢91¢-$1
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4589¢92¢+$1
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBNo$4998¢91¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?WeatherNo$4589¢89¢-$0
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$4690¢85¢-$3
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?TechNo$4895¢82¢-$7
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$4692¢83¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?WeatherNo$4182¢83¢+$1
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?PoliticsNo$43100¢95¢-$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4824¢20¢-$9
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoYes$50100¢79¢-$10
Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3895¢98¢+$1
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?PoliticsNo$4284¢77¢-$4
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$3978¢77¢-$1
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?CultureNo$3885¢85¢-$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3985¢81¢-$2
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?FinanceNo$4164¢59¢-$4
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3775¢74¢-$0
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchCryptoNo$4692¢74¢-$9
Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4286¢75¢-$5
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechNo$3875¢73¢-$1
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?TechYes$4182¢73¢-$5
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsYes$3875¢71¢-$2
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3876¢69¢-$4
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3467¢67¢+$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$3467¢66¢-$1
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$3467¢64¢-$2
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$3570¢64¢-$3
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3569¢62¢-$4
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?EconomyNo$3979¢61¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2481¢100¢+$6
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$3366¢59¢-$4
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$3264¢52¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2686¢86¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2584¢83¢-$0
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$2390¢98¢+$2
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$2550¢48¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2481¢76¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2687¢73¢-$4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2626¢21¢-$5
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?CultureNo$2480¢69¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1367¢97¢+$6
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsNo$2142¢38¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2020¢19¢-$2
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1765¢65¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?WeatherNo$1367¢77¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?WeatherNo$1678¢75¢-$1
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?EconomyNo$1174¢99¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?WeatherNo$1573¢71¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1367¢68¢+$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$1530¢27¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1260¢67¢+$1
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July?WeatherNo$1292¢99¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?WeatherNo$1365¢66¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?WeatherNo$1367¢63¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?WeatherNo$1261¢58¢-$1
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?FinanceNo$1313¢12¢-$2
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1330¢27¢-$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$1326¢23¢-$2
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherYes$1224¢22¢-$1
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$1224¢21¢-$2
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$1343¢34¢-$3
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?PoliticsNo$1224¢19¢-$3
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBYes$1155¢45¢-$2
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechNo$1166¢49¢-$3
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$73.7¢3.6¢-$0
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?MLBYes$1048¢34¢-$3
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$73.5¢3.4¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?WeatherNo$1059¢38¢-$4
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? eSportsNo$795¢79¢-$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?TechNo$774¢60¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsYes$1721¢6.9¢-$12
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsNo$917¢9.5¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?WeatherNo$463¢69¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$836
Politics-$503
Soccer (other)-$328
Finance-$325
World Cup-$276
Golf-$85
Economy-$63
NBA-$49
Culture-$47
MLB-$39
Tennis-$34
Tech-$32
Biggest hit
+$34
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$68
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$506m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$4915m ago
  • Bought Yes · US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?$1216m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?$1324m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?$1324m ago
  • Sold No · Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$125m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?$1335m ago
  • Bought No · Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$341h ago
  • Bought No · Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$211h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?$261h ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?$151h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1941h ago