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policyzero
Right now: $780 riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran strike on US military by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $285 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$285 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $152 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $780 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$780 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $202 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$749
Biggest hit
+$686
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Toughest beat
-$30
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Recent moves
Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1394mo ago
Sold Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1054mo ago
Sold Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$704mo ago
Sold Yes · New pandemic in 2026?$274mo ago- Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$185mo ago
- Bought Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$75mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$1055mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$15mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$485mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$5125mo ago- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$15mo ago
- Bought Yes · US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$45mo ago