Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 3.7¢ | 19¢ | +$83 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $50 | 1.2¢ | 0.3¢ | -$40 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$16 |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$17 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 9.0¢ | 2.4¢ | -$6 |
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $9 | 2.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$7 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $35 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on February 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $228 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$228 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $329 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$329 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $824 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$824 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $470 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$470 |
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will Trump say "Hottest" during 2pm signing?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $625 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$625 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?Crypto | YesResolved | $50 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
GTA VI released before June 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 8)Mentions | NoResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |