Thalwen

Predicting since Mar 202588 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $53K on NHL markets since Mar 2025.

Biggest hit: +$53K on Panthers vs. Canadiens.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Politics	NoResolved	$5	100¢	100¢	+$0
Will Trump remove carried interest loophole before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics	NoResolved	$3	100¢	0.0¢	-$3
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	23¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Tech	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$2	57¢	0.0¢	-$2
Senators vs. WildNHL	SenatorsResolved	$4	48¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	47¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?Tech	YesResolved	$1	8.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$3	49¢	0.0¢	-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	19¢	0.0¢	-$1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa JacquemotTennis	Elsa JacquemotResolved	$4	38¢	0.0¢	-$4

Realized + open PnL by category

NHL+$53K

Politics+$738

Tech-$6

Economy+$4

Tennis-$4

Crypto-$1

Culture+$0

Mentions+$0

Premier League+$0

NBA+$0

Weather+$0

Soccer (other)+$0

Biggest hit

+$53K

Panthers vs. Canadiens

Toughest beat

-$248

Wild vs. Canucks

Bought Elsa Jacquemot · Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa Jacquemot$44mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the Los Angeles Angels win the AL West Division?$24mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$24mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Juan Soto win the 2025 NL MVP?$34mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$34mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$34mo ago
Cashed out No · Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$44mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$54mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$54mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Stuttgart win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$64mo ago
Cashed out Avalanche · Predators vs. Avalanche$84mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$314mo ago