← Whale Watch

Thalwen

Predicting since Mar 202588 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $53K on NHL markets since Mar 2025.

Biggest hit: +$53K on Panthers vs. Canadiens.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?PoliticsNoResolved$5100¢100¢+$0
Will Trump remove carried interest loophole before July?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$3100¢0.0¢-$3
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?TechYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?TechYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$257¢0.0¢-$2
Senators vs. WildNHLSenatorsResolved$448¢0.0¢-$4
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?TechYesResolved$18.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?TechYesResolved$349¢0.0¢-$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa JacquemotTennisElsa JacquemotResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NHL+$53K
Politics+$738
Tech-$6
Economy+$4
Tennis-$4
Crypto-$1
Culture+$0
Mentions+$0
Premier League+$0
NBA+$0
Weather+$0
Soccer (other)+$0
Biggest hit
+$53K
Panthers vs. Canadiens
Toughest beat
-$248
Wild vs. Canucks

Recent moves

  • Bought Elsa Jacquemot · Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Barbora Krejcikova vs Elsa Jacquemot$42mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Los Angeles Angels win the AL West Division?$22mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$22mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Juan Soto win the 2025 NL MVP?$32mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$32mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$32mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$42mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Stuttgart win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$62mo ago
  • Cashed out Avalanche · Predators vs. Avalanche$82mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$312mo ago