← Whale Watch

denizz

Predicting since Sep 2024979 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.4M on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $271K riding on Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$383K on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$271K72¢92¢+$76K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$266K73¢81¢+$27K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$75K94¢99¢+$4.6K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$64K77¢95¢+$15K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$59K87¢99¢+$8.1K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$49K80¢94¢+$8.5K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$46K76¢88¢+$7.3K
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$34K65¢80¢+$7.2K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30K63¢79¢+$7.7K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$35K94¢100¢+$2.2K
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$19K51¢82¢+$11K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24K57¢68¢+$4.6K
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$21K66¢74¢+$2.7K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21K82¢88¢+$1.4K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$14K55¢59¢+$929
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$12K75¢88¢+$2.1K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$12K71¢84¢+$2.1K
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsNo$8.9K67¢89¢+$2.9K
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$6.7K45¢61¢+$2.3K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.6K89¢97¢+$623
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.2K95¢100¢+$317
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.5K75¢87¢+$810
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.9K83¢82¢-$84
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$5.2K27¢27¢-$22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.1K19¢47¢+$3.1K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.5K86¢95¢+$422
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.7K73¢95¢+$1.2K
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.6K84¢86¢+$93
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.9K78¢88¢+$519
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K51¢87¢+$1.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$3.3K24¢28¢+$480
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.9K75¢89¢+$525
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.5K81¢93¢+$383
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$2.3K15¢16¢+$77
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$2.3K54¢56¢+$74
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.0K79¢93¢+$332
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K64¢81¢+$429
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$1.1K36¢62¢+$791
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$1.4K59¢69¢+$216
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K88¢100¢+$180
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$78628¢53¢+$682
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.0K76¢91¢+$190
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$95543¢46¢+$56
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?PoliticsNo$79782¢95¢+$121
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$45815¢25¢+$329
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$55316¢23¢+$208
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$61926¢30¢+$96
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsNo$58784¢93¢+$59
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$44426¢29¢+$57
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.3K20¢7.5¢-$822
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$15129¢27¢-$10
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?PoliticsYes$10110¢12¢+$15
Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?PoliticsNo$9491¢96¢+$6
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$2511¢0.8¢-$23
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$1452.1¢0.0¢-$145
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$4.5K25¢0.0¢-$4.5K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? PoliticsYesResolved$36711¢0.0¢-$367
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K56¢0.0¢-$1.2K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.4M
Mentions+$34K
Culture+$13K
NFL+$4.1K
Crypto-$2.4K
Other+$1.1K
Tech+$662
Other sports+$57
NBA+$54
Biggest hit
+$383K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$155K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$45023m ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$51623m ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$21h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$21K1h ago
  • Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$3351h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$781h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$9831h ago
  • Sold Yes · US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?$2351h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2191h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$11h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$2761h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$362h ago