← Whale Watch

KARACAC

Predicting since Jan 20263,100 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.2K on Finance markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $2.1K riding on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$2.1K97¢97¢+$5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$50392¢91¢-$7
SHEIN IPO before 2027?TechYes$8943¢88¢+$94
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?CryptoNo$12462¢65¢+$6
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?CryptoNo$10167¢79¢+$17
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueNo$9779¢94¢+$18
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?CryptoNo$10480¢73¢-$10
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?CryptoYes$8529¢27¢-$6
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$3458¢100¢+$25
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?CryptoYes$3154¢98¢+$26
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?PoliticsNo$3590¢93¢+$1
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoYes$9959¢15¢-$74
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsYes$2734¢22¢-$10
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoYes$2217¢14¢-$5
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?TechYes$916¢13¢-$2
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?PoliticsYes$1742¢16¢-$10
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$4660¢8.0¢-$40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$553¢49¢-$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$481¢97¢+$1
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?CryptoNo$379¢93¢+$1
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoYes$37.9¢11¢+$1
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$367¢89¢+$1
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$238¢80¢+$2
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$245¢94¢+$2
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$250¢81¢+$1
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$264¢100¢+$1
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?TechNo$258¢76¢+$1
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$291¢100¢+$0
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$269¢78¢+$0
100kt meteor strike in 2026?TechYes$13.2¢7.7¢+$1
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$129¢73¢+$1
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$271¢64¢-$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoYes$124¢45¢+$1
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?CryptoYes$113¢14¢+$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$249¢34¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$215¢12¢-$0
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$820¢3.1¢-$7
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$09.0¢55¢+$1
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$150¢100¢+$1
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?PoliticsNo$172¢87¢+$0
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$523¢5.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7236¢0.0¢-$72
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?CultureNoResolved$11658¢0.0¢-$116
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?CryptoYesResolved$2615¢0.0¢-$26
Will Mike Gibney get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?CultureNoResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
Iran strike on US military by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
US bank failure by March 31?EconomyNoResolved$2525¢0.0¢-$25
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?PoliticsNoResolved$2168¢0.0¢-$21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 22 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?PoliticsNoResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?FinanceNoResolved$75.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$9045¢0.0¢-$90
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?PoliticsNoResolved$7325¢0.0¢-$73
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?NFLYesResolved$8829¢0.0¢-$88
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?CultureNoResolved$11940¢0.0¢-$119
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?CultureNoResolved$16181¢0.0¢-$161
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$8047¢0.0¢-$80
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $260?FinanceNoResolved$5349¢0.0¢-$53
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?NBANoResolved$13467¢0.0¢-$134
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$115.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?FinanceNoResolved$2613¢0.0¢-$26
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$2523¢0.0¢-$25
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?FinanceNoResolved$7547¢0.0¢-$75
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$016¢0.0¢-$0
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFLYesResolved$11055¢0.0¢-$110
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on February 19?FinanceYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?TechNoResolved$13670¢0.0¢-$136
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?PoliticsYesResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on February 10?FinanceYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$3522¢0.0¢-$35
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $80?FinanceYesResolved$53.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $400?FinanceNoResolved$3817¢0.0¢-$38
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?CryptoYesResolved$3721¢0.0¢-$37
Big Game: First Team To ScoreNFLNEResolved$5025¢0.0¢-$50
Will Meta (META) close at <$690 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?FinanceNoResolved$219.5¢0.0¢-$21
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3715¢0.0¢-$37
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on February 4?WeatherNoResolved$104.6¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 26?WeatherNoResolved$32.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?NFLYesResolved$2067¢0.0¢-$20
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$52.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5619¢0.0¢-$56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7979¢0.0¢-$79
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?CultureNoResolved$7425¢0.0¢-$74
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 13?WeatherNoResolved$6520¢0.0¢-$65
Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?NBANoResolved$11253¢0.0¢-$112
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$023¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?CultureNoResolved$12362¢0.0¢-$123
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 30?WeatherNoResolved$3532¢0.0¢-$35
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of January?FinanceYesResolved$2914¢0.0¢-$29
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$11859¢0.0¢-$118
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 60% by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1562¢0.0¢-$15
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?FinanceNoResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance-$4.2K
Politics-$3.8K
Culture-$2.5K
NFL-$2.5K
Olympics-$1.3K
Weather-$1.2K
Crypto-$772
Tech-$639
NBA-$560
eSports-$522
Hockey (other)-$449
Economy-$349
Biggest hit
+$717
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Toughest beat
-$177
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$50010d ago
  • Cashed out Team Liquid · Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$50010d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$2.1K11d ago
  • Bought Team Liquid · Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$31911d ago
  • Bought Team Liquid · Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$211d ago
  • Bought Team Liquid · Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$8611d ago
  • Bought Team Liquid · Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$2211d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?$111d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$111d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$111d ago