IndigoWalrus

Predicting since Apr 202527 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$20	18¢	88¢	+$76
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?Politics	Yes	$10	9.0¢	9.1¢	+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$5	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics	NoResolved	$9	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$5	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$8	8.1¢	0.0¢	-$8
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$5	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics	YesResolved	$5	20¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Economy	YesResolved	$3	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?Politics	YesResolved	$50	6.6¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?Politics	YesResolved	$20	4.6¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?MLB	YesResolved	$5	64¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Politics	YesResolved	$73	16¢	0.0¢	-$73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$10	43¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$17	19¢	0.0¢	-$17
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Economy	YesResolved	$5	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Crypto	YesResolved	$5	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
Another Canada election called in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$50	12¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Politics	YesResolved	$50	32¢	0.0¢	-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$234

Economy-$11

Crypto-$7

MLB-$4

Biggest hit

+$507

Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Toughest beat

-$3

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$163mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$103mo ago
Bought No · Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$33mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$523mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$6023mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$313mo ago