← Whale Watch

Chegildek

Predicting since Mar 20262,772 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.7K across 19 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$22737¢84¢+$279
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsNo$20851¢92¢+$162
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$16449¢100¢+$168
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$10158¢99¢+$71
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$9473¢79¢+$7
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?PoliticsNo$6867¢99¢+$31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsYes$38164¢17¢-$282
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$5855¢93¢+$40
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$7583¢100¢+$15
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$7895¢100¢+$4
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$5575¢94¢+$14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$10586¢51¢-$43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$1512¢49¢+$45
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$6079¢78¢-$1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$5779¢78¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$4055¢75¢+$15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$3859¢85¢+$17
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$3656¢84¢+$18
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsNo$3865¢82¢+$10
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$4688¢88¢-$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?PoliticsNo$2960¢88¢+$14
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$4470¢66¢-$3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$3772¢77¢+$3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3557¢63¢+$3
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$3494¢99¢+$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$23055¢8.5¢-$195
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$3495¢97¢+$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2886¢89¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$3326¢22¢-$5
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$2049¢63¢+$6
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?PoliticsNo$2293¢100¢+$2
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$2491¢89¢-$1
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$2273¢75¢+$1
WHOOP IPO before 2027?TechNo$2178¢83¢+$1
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$2185¢81¢-$1
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBANo$1996¢100¢+$1
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$1996¢99¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$3446¢26¢-$15
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?TechNo$1969¢67¢-$1
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBANo$1899¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?TechNo$1886¢87¢+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$1892¢92¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$1683¢93¢+$2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$2026¢23¢-$3
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1824¢23¢-$1
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$1794¢96¢+$0
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$1790¢90¢+$0
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?TechNo$1783¢84¢+$0
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1790¢87¢-$1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$1689¢93¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$1461¢73¢+$3
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$1684¢86¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsYes$4239¢15¢-$26
Stripe IPO before 2027?TechNo$1595¢97¢+$0
Discord IPO before 2027?TechNo$1354¢65¢+$3
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1521¢22¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1890¢77¢-$3
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$2394¢63¢-$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$2255¢37¢-$7
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$1670¢65¢-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2053¢37¢-$6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsYes$3442¢16¢-$21
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?TechNo$1383¢84¢+$0
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1260¢61¢+$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?PoliticsNo$1294¢100¢+$1
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1277¢80¢+$0
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$1250¢55¢+$1
Databricks IPO before 2027?TechNo$1292¢91¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$733¢57¢+$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1462¢55¢-$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$1168¢77¢+$1
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1248¢45¢-$1
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1279¢73¢-$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechYes$1084¢87¢+$0
Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$1093¢95¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$938¢46¢+$2
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$1059¢64¢+$1
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$1081¢84¢+$0
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?TechNo$1076¢79¢+$0
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1099¢100¢+$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$983¢91¢+$1
ByteDance IPO before 2027?TechNo$1093¢94¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$979¢80¢+$0
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$983¢89¢+$1
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?TechYes$828¢34¢+$1
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$995¢99¢+$0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1067¢63¢-$1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?TechYes$963¢64¢+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$1170¢55¢-$2
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$937¢35¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$1366¢43¢-$5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsYes$4640¢7.0¢-$38
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$833¢34¢+$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?PoliticsNo$975¢66¢-$1
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$862¢55¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsYes$1743¢18¢-$10
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?TechNo$775¢77¢+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$429¢46¢+$2
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechNo$778¢80¢+$0
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$647¢50¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

MLS+$253
Soccer (other)+$234
La Liga+$165
NBA+$90
eSports+$90
Champions League+$87
Premier League+$76
Basketball (other)+$73
Politics-$69
Tech+$18
NHL+$17
Mentions+$14
Biggest hit
+$111
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
Toughest beat
-$104
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$112h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$115h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$915h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$815h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$215h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$1315h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$815h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$015h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$115h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$915h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$315h ago