← Whale Watch

ethanblack

Predicting since Jul 2025261 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Crypto$140$4017¢22¢+$12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$10145¢21¢-$55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$2060¢80¢+$6
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$5831¢12¢-$36
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsYes$1740¢41¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$1066¢92¢+$4
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$858¢88¢+$4
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?CultureNo$581¢88¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$550¢44¢-$1
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?PoliticsNo$376¢74¢-$0
Clavicular sentenced to prison?CultureNo$391¢87¢-$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$69.0¢4.0¢-$3
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$719¢7.0¢-$4
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$285¢87¢+$0
Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?PoliticsYes$1012¢2.1¢-$8
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$211¢5.5¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?PoliticsYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?PoliticsYesResolved$415¢0.0¢-$4
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?MentionsYesResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5239¢0.0¢-$52
Will Kamala Harris say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$1549¢0.0¢-$15
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2515¢0.0¢-$25
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?PoliticsYesResolved$448¢0.0¢-$4
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?PoliticsNoResolved$5915¢0.0¢-$59
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$11923¢0.0¢-$119
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$339¢0.0¢-$3
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?MentionsYesResolved$166¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" this week? (September 22-28)MentionsYesResolved$252¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kamala Harris say "Chicago" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$5552¢0.0¢-$55
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?MentionsYesResolved$535¢0.0¢-$5
Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?CultureYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2516¢0.0¢-$25
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberPoliticsYesResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "N Word" in December?MentionsYesResolved$119.0¢0.0¢-$11
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$225.2¢0.0¢-$22
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 12)MentionsNoResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Kamala Harris say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$52.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?MentionsYesResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Will Kamala Harris say "Charlie" or "Kirk" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$82.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will Netanyahu say "Slander" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?MentionsYesResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$535¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (September 22-28)MentionsYesResolved$277¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?PoliticsYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$948¢0.0¢-$9
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?MentionsYesResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" this week? (April 12)MentionsYesResolved$185¢0.0¢-$1
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other)YesResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?CultureYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?PoliticsYesResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?MentionsYesResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will JD Vance say "Crap" or "Shit" during remarks in NC on September 24?MentionsYesResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?MentionsYesResolved$162¢0.0¢-$1
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?PoliticsYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?PoliticsYesResolved$626¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$19.5¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?MentionsYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?MentionsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?MentionsYesResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Will Prince Andrew be named in the Epstein survivors' list?PoliticsYesResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Vladimir" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$333¢0.0¢-$3
Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?CultureYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will "No No No" be said on ICEMAN?MentionsYesResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?PoliticsYesResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say “Kamikaze” this week? (November 10 - 16)MentionsYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?MentionsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in the Epstein survivors' list?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?CultureNoResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Will anyone say "Killed Kenny" during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$26.3¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
James Comey arrested by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$620¢0.0¢-$6
Will Kamala Harris say "Beautiful Bill" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?MentionsYesResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$344¢0.0¢-$3
Will Netanyahu say "Qatar" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?MentionsYesResolved$265¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kamala Harris say "Fundamental" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$169¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kamala Harris say "Epstein" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?MentionsYesResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?MentionsNoResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$393
Crypto-$188
Other sports-$132
Mentions-$75
Economy-$36
NBA-$22
Other-$20
eSports+$12
Culture-$12
Soccer (other)-$6
Tech-$5
Basketball (other)-$3
Biggest hit
+$89
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?
Toughest beat
-$132
Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?

Recent moves

  • Bought $140 · Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$191mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1211mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$82mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will "Nuclear" or "Nuke" be said on ICEMAN?$22mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?$32mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?$32mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?$02mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?$12mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?$32mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?$12mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?$62mo ago