 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $14K | 35¢ | 79¢ | +$18K |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $7.0K | 67¢ | 85¢ | +$1.8K |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $3.6K | 45¢ | 89¢ | +$3.4K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $3.3K | 41¢ | 73¢ | +$2.6K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 56¢ | 75¢ | +$1.5K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $606 | 8.5¢ | 67¢ | +$4.2K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $910 | 17¢ | 87¢ | +$3.6K |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 11¢ | 6.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$147 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $303 | 14¢ | 92¢ | +$1.7K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6.8K | 56¢ | 14¢ | -$5.1K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$710 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $454 | 58¢ | 99¢ | +$328 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $744 | 37¢ | 28¢ | -$171 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5.2K | 13¢ | 0.7¢ | -$4.9K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $212 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$35 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 29¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1.2K |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $244 | 47¢ | 21¢ | -$137 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 31¢ | 96¢ | +$69 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $362 | 36¢ | 9.5¢ | -$267 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $131 | 6.6¢ | 3.6¢ | -$58 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $45 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $818 | 24¢ | 1.4¢ | -$772 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $95 | 12¢ | 2.6¢ | -$74 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 64¢ | 23¢ | -$30 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $84 | 34¢ | 3.2¢ | -$76 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $496 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$496 |
 Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $132 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $555 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$555 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11K |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $8.8K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.8K |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $745 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$745 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $270 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$270 |
| Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $324 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$324 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Politics | YesResolved | $765 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$765 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $99 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $1.7K | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $88 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $101 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $998 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$998 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4.1K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.1K |
 Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Other | YesResolved | $16 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $948 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$948 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $256 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$256 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $332 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$332 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $93 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $96 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5.2K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.2K |
 Will Trump or Melania say "Ballroom" at the Military Mothers event?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $313 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$313 |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $759 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$759 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9.4K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.4K |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5.2K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.2K |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5.8K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.8K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $303 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$303 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $268 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$268 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $19K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19K |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $835 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$835 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $3.9K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3.1K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.4K | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $483 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$483 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $9.3K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.3K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Politics | NoResolved | $1.8K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $441 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$441 |
 Will Trump say "UFC" during June 24 Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $59 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $5.8K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.8K |
 Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Politics | NoResolved | $85 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $303 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$303 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4.8K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.8K |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $725 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$725 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Culture | NoResolved | $1.7K | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $136 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$136 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $82 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $309 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$309 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $154 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$154 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | YesResolved | $35 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture | NoResolved | $2.5K | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2.6K | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
Cashed out No · US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$4118d ago
Cashed out No · Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$1.2K8d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$50015d ago