US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $14K | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$2.1K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 15¢ | 51¢ | +$10K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $23K | 43¢ | 26¢ | -$9.2K |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $22K | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$10K |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $7.2K | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$1.8K |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $6.4K | 37¢ | 52¢ | +$2.5K |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5.8K | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$1.9K |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $4.9K | 58¢ | 75¢ | +$1.4K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $7.0K | 70¢ | 49¢ | -$2.1K |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$44 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6.8K | 56¢ | 33¢ | -$2.9K |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 31¢ | 89¢ | +$2.3K |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 39¢ | 56¢ | +$921 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$206 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $3.7K | 63¢ | 45¢ | -$1.1K |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 56¢ | 80¢ | +$677 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $1.6K | 72¢ | 97¢ | +$541 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $2.7K | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$673 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $8.7K | 28¢ | 5.5¢ | -$7.0K |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1.2K | 55¢ | 63¢ | +$168 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$285 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $946 | 59¢ | 78¢ | +$291 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | No | $1.6K | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$355 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $975 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$188 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $1.3K | 59¢ | 38¢ | -$473 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 25¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2.3K |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $454 | 58¢ | 84¢ | +$204 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $701 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$47 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $744 | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$91 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 29¢ | 13¢ | -$813 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $303 | 14¢ | 27¢ | +$268 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $677 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$189 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $625 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$211 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $371 | 74¢ | 81¢ | +$36 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $739 | 54¢ | 30¢ | -$337 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $583 | 59¢ | 37¢ | -$216 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $226 | 66¢ | 98¢ | +$110 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | No | $361 | 6.8¢ | 3.2¢ | -$191 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | No | $508 | 2.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$363 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 53¢ | 92¢ | +$60 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $971 | 19¢ | 2.5¢ | -$841 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $131 | 6.6¢ | 6.3¢ | -$5 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $244 | 47¢ | 22¢ | -$132 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 18¢ | 1.5¢ | -$1.2K |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 15¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1.1K |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $84 | 34¢ | 25¢ | -$23 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | Yes | $45 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$11 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | Yes | $303 | 3.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$257 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $153 | 24¢ | 7.0¢ | -$107 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$16 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | No | $156 | 25¢ | 2.8¢ | -$139 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | No | $1.0K | 16¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.0K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 3.1¢ | 0.8¢ | -$12 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $496 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$496 |
Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $132 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $555 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$555 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11K |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $8.8K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.8K |
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $745 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$745 |
| Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $324 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$324 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Politics | YesResolved | $765 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$765 |
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $99 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $1.7K | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $88 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Other | YesResolved | $16 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $948 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$948 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $256 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$256 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $332 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$332 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $93 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $96 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5.2K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.2K |
Will Trump or Melania say "Ballroom" at the Military Mothers event?Mentions | NoResolved | $100 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $313 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$313 |
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $759 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$759 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9.4K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.4K |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $5.2K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.2K |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5.8K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.8K |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $268 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$268 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $19K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19K |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $835 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$835 |
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $3.9K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.4K | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $483 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$483 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $9.3K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.3K |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Politics | NoResolved | $1.8K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |