← Whale Watch

ourdemocracy2

Predicting since Jun 2025545 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.3K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $10K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$11K on Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$6.1K90¢94¢+$242
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$4.2K87¢87¢+$24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$2.9K88¢91¢+$82
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.2K89¢95¢+$77
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechNo$1.3K64¢63¢-$30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K90¢92¢+$21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$1.0K77¢81¢+$65
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoNo$1.1K87¢84¢-$39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$1.0K83¢81¢-$27
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$92092¢96¢+$39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$81697¢100¢+$22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$72296¢95¢-$14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$67968¢69¢+$6
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$60391¢96¢+$32
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$44990¢97¢+$38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyNo$45585¢88¢+$12
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$34977¢71¢-$29
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?PoliticsNo$30097¢99¢+$8
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27995¢99¢+$12
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$28896¢97¢+$3
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$26988¢95¢+$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$27993¢96¢+$10
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31?PoliticsNo$27696¢98¢+$7
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$26689¢92¢+$8
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$27054¢54¢-$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$27391¢86¢-$17
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$24682¢85¢+$8
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?PoliticsNo$22997¢100¢+$7
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$22392¢96¢+$9
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$18380¢90¢+$22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?FinanceNo$17486¢90¢+$7
Megaquake by July 31?WeatherNo$15591¢98¢+$12
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$14070¢80¢+$21
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?CryptoNo$13288¢100¢+$17
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14697¢99¢+$3
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?EconomyNo$12689¢97¢+$11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12550¢49¢-$3
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?EconomyNo$11593¢98¢+$6
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsNo$11174¢69¢-$8
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9696¢99¢+$3
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$9191¢98¢+$7
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyNo$10373¢65¢-$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$8894¢98¢+$4
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8295¢98¢+$3
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?PoliticsNo$8691¢90¢-$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?EconomyNo$7183¢96¢+$11
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$6960¢71¢+$12
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$7389¢93¢+$3
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$6086¢90¢+$3
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?CryptoNo$5895¢95¢-$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$5276¢80¢+$3
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4677¢90¢+$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$4785¢93¢+$5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?FinanceNo$4895¢100¢+$2
Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation on July 31?TechNo$4998¢100¢+$1
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$7221¢14¢-$22
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4487¢90¢+$2
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? CryptoNo$4284¢87¢+$1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?FinanceYes$2866¢70¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$2894¢99¢+$2
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2587¢95¢+$2
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2591¢96¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1974¢71¢-$1
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?CryptoYes$474¢65¢-$1
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?PoliticsNoResolved$3050¢0.0¢-$30
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?CultureNoResolved$5979¢0.0¢-$59
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?PoliticsNoResolved$5359¢0.0¢-$53
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$3366¢0.0¢-$33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?FinanceNoResolved$4385¢0.0¢-$43
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$9755¢0.0¢-$97
Will Google reach $375 in April?FinanceNoResolved$11699¢0.0¢-$116
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$76395¢0.0¢-$763
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$606.0¢0.0¢-$60
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?PoliticsNoResolved$6060¢0.0¢-$60
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?PoliticsNoResolved$8787¢0.0¢-$87
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?FinanceYesResolved$938¢0.0¢-$9
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?CryptoYesResolved$421.1¢0.0¢-$42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$27993¢0.0¢-$279
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.3K
Crypto+$1.8K
Finance+$835
Weather+$253
Economy+$82
Tech+$73
eSports-$54
Culture+$24
Biggest hit
+$11K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$12K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$4015h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$13316h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$5117h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$90020h ago
  • Sold No · Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$99620h ago
  • Bought No · Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$2521d ago
  • Bought No · Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$6751d ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$811d ago
  • Bought No · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$451d ago
  • Sold No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2241d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$391d ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$791d ago