← Whale Watch

Lowtaperfade

Predicting since Apr 2025694 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$10268¢68¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$7777¢78¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$6767¢69¢+$2
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$6161¢56¢-$5
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$2666¢65¢-$0
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$1259¢61¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$1540¢5.5¢-$13
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1142¢0.0¢-$11
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?PoliticsNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Powell say "Comment" during September press conference?MentionsNoResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$738¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?MentionsNoResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$49.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$5266¢0.0¢-$52
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Team Secret win the 2025 Rainbow 6 Siege World Cup?eSportsNoResolved$4386¢0.0¢-$43
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)YesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?MentionsNoResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bernie Sanders say "Alexandria" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?MentionsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$73.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next MrBeast video be between 20 and 25 min?CultureYesResolved$38.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$1771¢0.0¢-$17
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $80m?CultureNoResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?MentionsNoResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceStation Gaming win the 2025 Rainbow 6 Siege World Cup?eSportsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?BoxingNoResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will MrBeast raise 40m on Tuesday September 2 or later?CultureYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)NoResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Chip" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?MentionsNoResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?PoliticsYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?PoliticsYesResolved$79.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?CultureYesResolved$2050¢0.0¢-$20
Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-03-31 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?Other sportsYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Turning Point" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?MentionsNoResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$6883¢0.0¢-$68
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5563¢0.0¢-$55
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?TechNoResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will MrBeast raise 40m on Monday September 1?CultureYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Volodar Murzin win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?PoliticsNoResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?CryptoNoResolved$1445¢0.0¢-$14
Will Paloma Valencia win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?World CupNoResolved$930¢0.0¢-$9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will XRP reach $3.60 in August?CryptoYesResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?PoliticsNoResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?MentionsNoResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2857¢0.0¢-$28
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$1924¢0.0¢-$19
Will Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Will DarkZero win the 2025 Rainbow 6 Siege World Cup?eSportsYesResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?CultureNoResolved$1185¢0.0¢-$11
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?TechNoResolved$947¢0.0¢-$9
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iraq by March 7?PoliticsNoResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$4141¢0.0¢-$41
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevUFC / MMADu PlessisResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$736¢0.0¢-$7
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$1255¢0.0¢-$12
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$14.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will FURIA win the 2025 Rainbow 6 Siege World Cup?eSportsYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Other sportsYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$16.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$640¢0.0¢-$6
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Hakan Çalhanoğlu score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Federico Valverde score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$767¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsNoResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?PoliticsNoResolved$45.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$1246¢0.0¢-$12
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$29.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$62.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.5-3.75 in June?EconomyYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?World CupNoResolved$16281¢0.0¢-$162
Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
ATP Cincinnati - Davidovich Fokina vs. FonsecaTennisFokinaResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?PoliticsYesResolved$941¢0.0¢-$9
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?Other sportsYesResolved$45.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?MentionsNoResolved$643¢0.0¢-$6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?CryptoNoResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?MentionsNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$685
World Cup-$375
Crypto-$101
Finance+$86
eSports-$63
Other sports+$48
Tech+$33
Boxing+$25
Soccer (other)+$22
Economy+$21
Mentions+$11
Tennis-$10
Biggest hit
+$151
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$97
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$678h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$778h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2628h ago
  • Bought No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$1028h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$279h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$841d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$161d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?$41d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$142d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$92d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?$32d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$32d ago