← Whale Watch

BTCisaHarshMistress

Predicting since May 20212,853 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $12K on Politics markets since May 2021.

Right now: $12K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$3.5K77¢67¢-$496
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$81854¢29¢-$386
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechYes$40418¢6.5¢-$256
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?TechYes$1099.9¢8.5¢-$16
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$8931¢31¢-$2
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$3397¢95¢-$1
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2895¢96¢+$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$254.0¢3.4¢-$4
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$1785¢86¢+$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$230.9¢0.7¢-$7
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1526¢22¢-$2
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?PoliticsYes$2019¢10¢-$10
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsYes$158.2¢5.5¢-$5
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$2215¢6.5¢-$12
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?TechYes$3141¢13¢-$21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$838¢43¢+$1
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$703.8¢0.4¢-$62
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYes$540¢56¢+$2
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$251.5¢0.3¢-$21
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?PoliticsYes$26.5¢12¢+$1
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsNo$37.0¢5.1¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1155¢6.5¢-$10
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMAYesResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?UFC / MMAYesResolved$12999¢0.0¢-$129
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?PoliticsYesResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$8.3K36¢0.0¢-$8.3K
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$46.6¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5044¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?PoliticsNoResolved$142.1¢0.0¢-$14
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMADvalishviliResolved$17778¢0.0¢-$177
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3633¢0.0¢-$36
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3.5K77¢0.0¢-$3.5K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$12K
Weather-$1.3K
Culture+$1.0K
NBA-$766
Tech-$640
College Hoops-$351
UFC / MMA-$340
Finance-$234
Other+$139
Crypto+$135
Formula 1-$135
Premier League+$121
Biggest hit
+$1.1K
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Recent moves

  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$39h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$99h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$310h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$310h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$010h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$23216h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$018h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1018h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$818h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$718h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$618h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$818h ago