naivemxchine

Predicting since Jan 202691 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	28¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$15	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup	YesResolved	$38	24¢	0.0¢	-$38
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance	NoResolved	$16	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?Other	YesResolved	$22	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$22
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?Finance	YesResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?Crypto	NoResolved	$9	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics	NoResolved	$3	5.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$11	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$20	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Politics	YesResolved	$4	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$5	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$129

Finance-$46

World Cup-$39

Soccer (other)-$31

Mentions-$28

Other-$22

Culture-$20

Crypto-$13

Champions League-$11

Weather-$8

eSports-$6

NBA-$5

Biggest hit

+$99

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Toughest beat

-$34

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Bought Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$407d ago
Sold Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$407d ago
Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$437d ago
Sold Yes · SBF released from custody in 2026?$221mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · SBF released from custody in 2026?$203mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?$114mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?$94mo ago
Sold Yes · Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$154mo ago
Bought Yes · Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$224mo ago
Sold Yes · Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$544mo ago