Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 20¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 6.6¢ | 85¢ | +$12 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 56¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 38¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 48¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $3 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $3 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 88¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 66¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.2¢ | 9.0¢ | +$1 |
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 41¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $1 | 67¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 9.2¢ | 6.2¢ | -$1 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 35¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.2¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$0 |
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $2 | 6.3¢ | 3.9¢ | -$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 4.7¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |